Prediction: Leixoes vs UD Leiria
Team pages: Leixoes · UD Leiria
See it on the live radar ↗- Leixoes1-4UD Leiria
- UD Leiria1-3Leixoes
- Leixoes0-1UD Leiria
- UD Leiria1-0Leixoes
- Leixoes0-0UD Leiria
- UD Leiria0-0Leixoes
| Leixoes | Draw | UD Leiria | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 25% | 38% |
| Market | 35% | 29% | 36% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leixoes (rating 1558 vs 1438).
- H2H favours UD Leiria: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Leixoes | UD Leiria | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 0.9 | 1.2 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 4.8 | 2.3 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.4 | 4.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Leixoes 1–2–3 UD Leiria
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/26 Portugal Segunda Liga | Leixoes | 1-4 HT 0-3 | UD Leiria |
| 25/10/25 Portugal Segunda Liga | UD Leiria | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Leixoes |
| 30/03/25 Portugal Segunda Liga | Leixoes | 0-1 HT 0-0 | UD Leiria |
| 03/11/24 Portugal Segunda Liga | UD Leiria | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Leixoes |
| 06/04/24 Portugal Segunda Liga | Leixoes | 0-0 HT 0-0 | UD Leiria |
| 18/11/23 Portugal Segunda Liga | UD Leiria | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Leixoes |
Standings · Portugal Segunda Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Academica | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Portimonense | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Benfica B | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | SC Farense | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Lusitania Lourosa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 | Sporting B | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 7 | Leixoes | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Vizela | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Tondela | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | Felgueiras 1932 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 11 | SCU Torreense | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 12 | Penafiel | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 13 | AVS | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 14 | Feirense | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 15 | Amarante | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 | UD Leiria | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 | FC Porto B | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 | Chaves | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Leixoes | UD Leiria |
|---|---|---|
| Benfica B | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Lusitania Lourosa | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Leixoes (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leixoes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Tondela Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 10/08 | Benfica B Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 8 | L |
| 01/08 | Casa Pia Europe Friendlies |
3-2 | 6-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Lusitania Lourosa Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | Chaves Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 01/05 | Maritimo Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 25/04 | Portimonense Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 20/04 | FC Porto B Portugal Segunda Liga |
3-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 12/04 | UD Oliveirense Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 06/04 | SCU Torreense Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
UD Leiria
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Benfica B Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | Vizela Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 28/07 | Las Palmas Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 17/05 | Feirense Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 09/05 | Vizela Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 03/05 | SC Farense Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 25/04 | Felgueiras 1932 Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Penafiel Portugal Segunda Liga |
2-1 | 4-2 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 11/04 | Benfica B Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 05/04 | Lusitania Lourosa Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leixoes vs UD Leiria?
According to our model, the most likely result is an UD Leiria win (37%). Probabilities: Leixoes 36%, draw 27%, UD Leiria 37%.
How many goals are expected in Leixoes vs UD Leiria?
The model expects 3.2 goals (Leixoes 1.59 · UD Leiria 1.61), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Leixoes vs UD Leiria?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.

