Football · Portugal Segunda Liga · 23/08, 12:00
Prediction: Chaves vs AVS
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.71Total
Chaves1.34
AVS1.38
1X2
Chaves
Draw
AVS
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Chaves
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
AVS
2-6-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Chaves
0–2–0
AVS
(2 last)
- AVS1-1Chaves
- AVS0-0Chaves
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AVS (rating 1440 vs 1501).
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chaves | AVS | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.9 | 1.1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.9 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.7 | 2.1 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0 | 3.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chaves 0–2–0 AVS
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07/23 Portugal League Cup | AVS | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Chaves |
| 15/07/23 Europe Friendlies | AVS | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Chaves |
Standings · Portugal Segunda Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Academica | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Portimonense | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Benfica B | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | SC Farense | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Lusitania Lourosa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 | Sporting B | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 7 | Leixoes | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Vizela | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Tondela | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | Felgueiras 1932 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 11 | SCU Torreense | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 12 | Penafiel | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 13 | AVS | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 14 | Feirense | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 15 | Amarante | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 | UD Leiria | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 | FC Porto B | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 | Chaves | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chaves | AVS |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting B | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Guimaraes | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: AVS (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chaves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Sporting B Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 08/08 | Academica Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-2 | 1-4 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 02/08 | Academico Viseu Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 01/08 | Guimaraes Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 15/05 | Maritimo Portugal Segunda Liga |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Leixoes Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 03/05 | Portimonense Portugal Segunda Liga |
2-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 27/04 | UD Oliveirense Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Pacos Ferreira Portugal Segunda Liga |
3-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 11/04 | SCU Torreense Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
AVS
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Felgueiras 1932 Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 09/08 | Sporting B Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 31/07 | Trofense Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | D |
| 16/05 | Moreirense Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 10/05 | FC Porto Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Nacional Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 26/04 | Sporting Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 17/04 | Rio Ave Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 11/04 | Guimaraes Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 03/04 | Gil Vicente Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chaves vs AVS?
According to our model, the most likely result is an AVS win (37%). Probabilities: Chaves 35%, draw 28%, AVS 37%.
How many goals are expected in Chaves vs AVS?
The model expects 2.71 goals (Chaves 1.34 · AVS 1.38), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Chaves vs AVS?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.