Football · Portugal Segunda Liga · 23/08, 17:00

Prediction: Benfica B vs Portimonense

Team pages: Benfica B · Portimonense

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Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.48Total
Benfica B1.55
Portimonense0.92
1X2
51% 28% 21%
Benfica B Draw Portimonense
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Benfica B 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
WDLLWLLWWW
Portimonense 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
WLWLWDWLWW
Head-to-head
Benfica B 1–2–3 Portimonense (6 last)
  • Portimonense1-1Benfica B
  • Benfica B1-2Portimonense
  • Benfica B0-0Portimonense
  • Portimonense0-2Benfica B
  • Benfica B2-3Portimonense
  • Portimonense3-0Benfica B
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Benfica B 1504 · Portimonense 1552
Benfica BDrawPortimonense
Our model51%28%21%
Market51%28%21%
Estimated total (ours) 2.48 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Portimonense (rating 1504 vs 1552).
  • H2H favours Portimonense: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Benfica BPortimonense
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 1.31.4 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.70.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.4 / 53.2 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.4 / 0.54.1 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Benfica B 123 Portimonense

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DateHomeScoreAway
09/02/26
Portugal Segunda Liga
Portimonense1-1
HT 0-0
Benfica B
30/08/25
Portugal Segunda Liga
Benfica B1-2
HT 0-1
Portimonense
09/03/25
Portugal Segunda Liga
Benfica B0-0
HT 0-0
Portimonense
23/11/24
Portugal Segunda Liga
Portimonense0-2
HT 0-1
Benfica B
15/03/17
Portugal Segunda Liga
Benfica B2-3
HT 2-1
Portimonense
19/10/16
Portugal Segunda Liga
Portimonense3-0
HT 2-0
Benfica B

Standings · Portugal Segunda Liga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Academica 3300 719
2 Portimonense 3210 417
3 Benfica B 3210 427
4 SC Farense 2200 526
5 Lusitania Lourosa 2200 306
6 Sporting B 2200 206
7 Leixoes 2101 113
8 Vizela 2101 123
9 Tondela 3102 243
10 Felgueiras 1932 2020 112
11 SCU Torreense 2011 341
12 Penafiel 2011 231
13 AVS 2011 121
14 Feirense 2011 011
15 Amarante 2002 130
15 UD Leiria 2002 130
17 FC Porto B 2002 150
17 Chaves 2002 150

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBenfica BPortimonense
Leixoes 1-0 W 0-2 L
Maritimo 1-2 L 0-1 L
UD Oliveirense 0-3 L 2-1 W
Vizela 2-1 W 2-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 2 L 2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Portimonense (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Benfica B

WDLLWLLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 UD Leiria
Portugal Segunda Liga
1-1 2-1 14 W
10/08 Leixoes
Portugal Segunda Liga
1-0 1-0 18 W
01/08 Atletico CP Lisbon
Europe Friendlies
0-0 1-0 40 W
15/05 FC Porto B
Portugal Segunda Liga
0-0 0-2 85 L
09/05 Academico Viseu
Portugal Segunda Liga
0-2 0-2 76 L
01/05 Sporting B
Portugal Segunda Liga
0-0 1-0 311 W
26/04 Maritimo
Portugal Segunda Liga
0-2 1-2 58 L
22/04 UD Oliveirense
Portugal Segunda Liga
0-1 0-3 35 L
11/04 UD Leiria
Portugal Segunda Liga
0-1 2-2 124 D
07/04 Vizela
Portugal Segunda Liga
2-0 2-1 68 W

Portimonense

WLWLWDWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/08 Vizela
Portugal Segunda Liga
1-0 2-0 23 W
08/08 Penafiel
Portugal Segunda Liga
0-0 1-0 43 W
31/07 Nottm Forest
Elite Club Friendlies
0-1 1-2 L
17/05 SC Farense
Portugal Segunda Liga
1-0 1-0 42 W
09/05 Felgueiras 1932
Portugal Segunda Liga
1-1 1-1 74 D
03/05 Chaves
Portugal Segunda Liga
2-2 3-2 74 W
25/04 Leixoes
Portugal Segunda Liga
0-0 0-2 54 L
19/04 Lusitania Lourosa
Portugal Segunda Liga
0-0 3-2 66 W
12/04 Maritimo
Portugal Segunda Liga
0-0 0-1 27 L
03/04 UD Oliveirense
Portugal Segunda Liga
0-0 2-1 76 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Benfica B vs Portimonense?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Benfica B win (51%). Probabilities: Benfica B 51%, draw 28%, Portimonense 21%.

How many goals are expected in Benfica B vs Portimonense?

The model expects 2.48 goals (Benfica B 1.55 · Portimonense 0.92), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Benfica B vs Portimonense?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.