Football · Türkiye Super Lig · 23/08, 19:00
Prediction: Fenerbahce vs Konyaspor
Team pages: Fenerbahce · Konyaspor
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.52Total
Fenerbahce2.6
Konyaspor0.92
1X2
Fenerbahce
Draw
Konyaspor
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Fenerbahce
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Konyaspor
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Fenerbahce
4–2–0
Konyaspor
(6 last)
- Konyaspor0-3Fenerbahce
- Konyaspor0-0Fenerbahce
- Fenerbahce4-0Konyaspor
- Fenerbahce2-1Konyaspor
- Konyaspor2-3Fenerbahce
- Konyaspor0-0Fenerbahce
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fenerbahce 1606 · Konyaspor 1447
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Konyaspor | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 73% | 17% | 10% |
| Market | 72% | 18% | 10% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.52 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fenerbahce (rating 1606 vs 1447).
- H2H favours Fenerbahce: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fenerbahce | Konyaspor | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 0.7 | 1 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 6.4 | 1.1 / 2.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 4.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fenerbahce 4–2–0 Konyaspor
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Türkiye Super Lig | Konyaspor | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Fenerbahce |
| 21/04/26 Türkiye Cup | Konyaspor | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Fenerbahce |
| 15/12/25 Türkiye Super Lig | Fenerbahce | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Konyaspor |
| 31/05/25 Türkiye Super Lig | Fenerbahce | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Konyaspor |
| 13/01/25 Türkiye Super Lig | Konyaspor | 2-3 HT 2-2 | Fenerbahce |
| 06/05/24 Türkiye Super Lig | Konyaspor | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Fenerbahce |
Standings · Türkiye Super Lig
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amedspor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Istanbul Basaksehir | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Genclerbirligi | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Caykur Rizespor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Corum Belediyespor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 6 | Galatasaray | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | Alanyaspor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Gazisehir Gaziantep FK | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Kasimpasa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Trabzonspor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 12 | Goztepe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Samsunspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Fenerbahce | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Eyupspor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | Konyaspor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Kocaelispor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Erzurumspor FK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fenerbahce
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Genclerbirligi Türkiye Super Lig |
1-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 1 | L |
| 11/08 | SK Sturm Graz UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 05/08 | SK Sturm Graz UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 29/07 | Gornik Zabrze UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 21/07 | Gornik Zabrze UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 14/07 | LASK Linz Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 11/07 | Pogon Szczecin Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 08/07 | Admira Wacker Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 17/05 | Eyupspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 09/05 | Konyaspor Türkiye Super Lig |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
Konyaspor
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Caykur Rizespor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 29/07 | Al Dhafra SCC World Club Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 25/07 | Hull Elite Club Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 18/07 | Zalaegerszegi TE Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 15/07 | FC Zorya Lugansk Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 22/05 | Trabzonspor Türkiye Cup |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 12 | L |
| 17/05 | Kayserispor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | Fenerbahce Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 05/05 | Besiktas Türkiye Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 01/05 | Caykur Rizespor Türkiye Super Lig |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fenerbahce vs Konyaspor?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Fenerbahce win (72%). Probabilities: Fenerbahce 72%, draw 18%, Konyaspor 10%.
How many goals are expected in Fenerbahce vs Konyaspor?
The model expects 3.52 goals (Fenerbahce 2.6 · Konyaspor 0.92), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Fenerbahce vs Konyaspor?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.