Football · Brazil Campeonato Goiano Women · 05/09, 20:30

Prediction: Vila Nova GO (W) vs Flugoiania (W)

Team pages: Vila Nova GO (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.02Total

Vila Nova GO (W)3.01

Flugoiania (W)1.01

1X2

84% 10% 6%

Vila Nova GO (W) Draw Flugoiania (W)

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

3-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Vila Nova GO (W) 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WDWLWWWWWW

Flugoiania (W) 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LDDWDLWDLL

Head-to-head

Vila Nova GO (W) 6–0 Flugoiania (W) (6 last)

Vila Nova GO (W)6-2Flugoiania (W)
Flugoiania (W)0-3Vila Nova GO (W)
Vila Nova GO (W)3-0Flugoiania (W)
Flugoiania (W)0-2Vila Nova GO (W)
Flugoiania (W)0-7Vila Nova GO (W)
Vila Nova GO (W)10-0Flugoiania (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vila Nova GO (W) 1504 · Flugoiania (W) 1466

	Vila Nova GO (W)	Draw	Flugoiania (W)
Our model	77%	14%	9%
Market	90%	7%	3%

Estimated total (ours) 4.02 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Vila Nova GO (W): 6-0-0.
High corners: 13.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Vila Nova GO (W)	Flugoiania (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	4 / 0.6	1.3 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	2 / 0.3	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/38/13%	22/56/22%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 7.4	1 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.5	3.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.04

X13.00

234.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-3.25)1.85

2 (+3.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.90

Under 3.751.90

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.04 → 1.04	Bet365 1.04
X	13.00 → 13.00	Bet365 13.00
2	34.00 → 34.00	Bet365 34.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.3%

Time*	1	X	2
22:53 +2’	1.04	13.00	34.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Vila Nova GO (W) 6–0–0 Flugoiania (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/11/25 Brazil Campeonato Goiano Women	Vila Nova GO (W)	6-2 HT 1-1	Flugoiania (W)
13/09/25 Brazil Campeonato Goiano Women	Flugoiania (W)	0-3	Vila Nova GO (W)
12/10/24 Brazil Campeonato Goiano Women	Vila Nova GO (W)	3-0 HT 1-0	Flugoiania (W)
17/08/24 Brazil Campeonato Goiano Women	Flugoiania (W)	0-2 HT 0-2	Vila Nova GO (W)
23/09/23 Brazil Campeonato Goiano Women	Flugoiania (W)	0-7 HT 0-2	Vila Nova GO (W)
12/08/23 Brazil Campeonato Goiano Women	Vila Nova GO (W)	10-0 HT 5-0	Flugoiania (W)

Standings · Brazil Campeonato Goiano Women · Goiano, Women 2026, Stage 2

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Alianca FC (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Anapolina (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Flugoiania (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Planalto EC (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Vila Nova GO (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vila Nova GO (W)	Flugoiania (W)
Planalto EC (W)	2-1 W	1-1 D
Alianca FC (W)	2-0 W	0-1 L
Anapolina (W)	2-1 W	0-4 L
Trindade Women	7-0 W	4-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Vila Nova GO (W) (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vila Nova GO (W)

WDWLWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/11	Flugoiania (W) Brazil Campeonato Goiano Women	1-1	6-2	10	1	W
08/11	Planalto EC (W) Brazil Campeonato Goiano Women	0-1	2-1	1	9	W
02/11	Alianca FC (W) Brazil Campeonato Goiano Women	1-0	2-0	2	2	W
25/10	Anapolina (W) Brazil Campeonato Goiano Women	2-0	2-1	3	6	W
18/10	Trindade Women Brazil Campeonato Goiano Women	4-0	7-0	19	5	W
11/10	Anapolina (W) Brazil Campeonato Goiano Women	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
05/10	Alianca FC (W) Brazil Campeonato Goiano Women	0-0	0-1	10	4	L
27/09	Trindade Women Brazil Campeonato Goiano Women	8-0	16-0	9	1	W
20/09	Planalto EC (W) Brazil Campeonato Goiano Women	–	1-1	–	–	D
13/09	Flugoiania (W) Brazil Campeonato Goiano Women	–	3-0	–	–	W

Flugoiania (W)

LDDWDLWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/11	Vila Nova GO (W) Brazil Campeonato Goiano Women	1-1	2-6	1	1	L
08/11	Anapolina (W) Brazil Campeonato Goiano Women	0-1	0-4	3	7	L
02/11	Planalto EC (W) Brazil Campeonato Goiano Women	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
25/10	Trindade Women Brazil Campeonato Goiano Women	1-0	4-0	10	5	W
18/10	Alianca FC (W) Brazil Campeonato Goiano Women	0-0	0-1	5	1	L
11/10	Trindade Women Brazil Campeonato Goiano Women	1-1	1-1	17	4	D
27/09	Alianca FC (W) Brazil Campeonato Goiano Women	0-2	3-2	4	1	W
24/09	Planalto EC (W) Brazil Campeonato Goiano Women	1-1	1-1	3	5	D
20/09	Anapolina (W) Brazil Campeonato Goiano Women	1-0	1-1	4	4	D
13/09	Vila Nova GO (W) Brazil Campeonato Goiano Women	–	0-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vila Nova GO (W) vs Flugoiania (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Vila Nova GO (W) win (84%). Probabilities: Vila Nova GO (W) 84%, draw 10%, Flugoiania (W) 6%.

How many goals are expected in Vila Nova GO (W) vs Flugoiania (W)?

The model expects 4.02 goals (Vila Nova GO (W) 3.01 · Flugoiania (W) 1.01), with a 51% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Vila Nova GO (W) vs Flugoiania (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.