Football · Argentina Cup · 27/08, 00:15
Prediction: Aldosivi vs Independiente Rivadavia
Team pages: Aldosivi · Independiente Rivadavia
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.68Total
Aldosivi1.05
Independiente Rivadavia1.63
1X2
Aldosivi
Draw
Independiente Rivadavia
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Aldosivi
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Independiente Rivadavia
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Aldosivi
1–2–3
Independiente Rivadavia
(6 last)
- Aldosivi1-1Independiente Rivadavia
- Aldosivi3-1Independiente Rivadavia
- Independiente Rivadavia1-0Aldosivi
- Independiente Rivadavia2-1Aldosivi
- Aldosivi1-2Independiente Rivadavia
- Aldosivi0-0Independiente Rivadavia
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aldosivi 1472 · Independiente Rivadavia 1532
| Aldosivi | Draw | Independiente Rivadavia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 23% | 27% | 50% |
| Market | 23% | 28% | 49% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.68 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Independiente Rivadavia (rating 1472 vs 1532).
- H2H favours Independiente Rivadavia: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Aldosivi | Independiente Rivadavia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.3 | 1.4 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.4 | 2.3 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.3 | 4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aldosivi 1–2–3 Independiente Rivadavia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Aldosivi | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Independiente Rivadavia |
| 01/11/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Aldosivi | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Independiente Rivadavia |
| 23/04/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Independiente Rivadavia | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Aldosivi |
| 17/06/23 Argentina Nacional B | Independiente Rivadavia | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Aldosivi |
| 10/02/23 Argentina Nacional B | Aldosivi | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Independiente Rivadavia |
| 09/12/17 Argentina Nacional B | Aldosivi | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Independiente Rivadavia |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Aldosivi | Independiente Rivadavia |
|---|---|---|
| CA Tigre | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Belgrano | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aldosivi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | CA Tigre Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 08/08 | Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 02/08 | Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 29/07 | Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 24/07 | Defensa y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 18/07 | River Plate Argentina Cup |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Independiente Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 26/04 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 19/04 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 11/04 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
Independiente Rivadavia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Fluminense Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 16/08 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 12/08 | Fluminense Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 08/08 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 03/08 | Sarmiento Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 31/07 | Huracan Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 26/07 | Atlético Tucumán Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 12/07 | CA Tigre Argentina Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 28/05 | Bolivar Copa Libertadores |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 22/05 | Deportivo La Guaira Copa Libertadores |
2-1 | 4-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aldosivi vs Independiente Rivadavia?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Independiente Rivadavia win (49%). Probabilities: Aldosivi 23%, draw 28%, Independiente Rivadavia 49%.
How many goals are expected in Aldosivi vs Independiente Rivadavia?
The model expects 2.68 goals (Aldosivi 1.05 · Independiente Rivadavia 1.63), with a 60% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Aldosivi vs Independiente Rivadavia?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.