Football · Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 · 15/11, 17:00

Prediction: Yeclano vs Castellon B

Team pages: Castellon B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.71Total

Yeclano1.55

Castellon B1.16

1X2

46% 27% 28%

Yeclano Draw Castellon B

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Yeclano 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

WDLWDDDLDL

Castellon B 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWWLWWLW

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yeclano 1482 · Castellon B 1550

	Yeclano	Draw	Castellon B
Our model	45%	28%	27%
Market	46%	26%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.71 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Castellon B (rating 1482 vs 1550).
High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 13.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Yeclano	Castellon B
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1	2.3 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 6.2	3.1 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.4 / 0.7	7.2 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.50

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:00 +8’	1.95	3.50	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Standings · Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 · Segunda Federacion 26/27, Group 3

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Castellon B	10	7	0	3	23	10	21
2	Deportiva Minera	10	6	2	2	13	9	20
3	UCAM Murcia CF	10	6	1	3	22	11	19
4	UD Castellonense	10	5	2	3	18	13	17
5	Cieza	10	5	2	3	16	8	17
6	La Nucia	10	5	1	4	16	15	16
7	Alcoyano	10	4	2	4	12	14	14
8	Atletico Baleares	10	3	4	3	16	16	13
9	CF Lorca Deportiva	10	3	4	3	13	11	13
10	Orihuela	10	3	4	3	10	15	13
11	CF Intercity	9	3	4	2	14	13	13
12	Poblense	10	4	1	5	9	12	13
13	Mallorca B	10	3	3	4	11	14	12
14	Yeclano	10	2	5	3	8	10	11
15	Elche Ilicitano	10	3	2	5	12	21	11
16	Real Murcia B	9	2	2	5	9	17	8
17	Valencia B	10	1	4	5	9	16	7
18	SCR Pena Deportiva	10	2	1	7	8	14	7

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Yeclano	Castellon B
Orihuela	0-0 D	4-1 W
Deportiva Minera	0-2 L	3-0 W
Poblense	2-2 D	1-2 L
CF Intercity	1-1 D	1-2 L
Elche Ilicitano	1-0 W	5-1 W
La Nucia	0-1 L	2-1 W
SCR Pena Deportiva	1-1 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 4 D 2 L	4 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Castellon B (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yeclano

WDLWDDDLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Mallorca B Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3	0-2	1-2	9	5	L
01/11	Orihuela Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3	0-0	0-0	4	8	D
24/10	Deportiva Minera Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3	0-1	0-2	9	7	L
18/10	Poblense Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3	1-0	2-2	11	5	D
11/10	Real Murcia B Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3	1-0	1-1	7	9	D
04/10	CF Intercity Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3	0-1	1-1	5	10	D
27/09	Elche Ilicitano Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
20/09	La Nucia Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
13/09	SCR Pena Deportiva Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3	0-0	1-1	5	12	D
06/09	Atletico Baleares Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3	0-0	1-0	4	7	W

Castellon B

LWWWWLWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/11	Deportiva Minera Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3	0-0	3-0	0	12	W
08/11	SCR Pena Deportiva Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3	0-0	0-1	9	3	L
31/10	Elche Ilicitano Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3	1-0	5-1	4	5	W
25/10	La Nucia Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3	1-1	2-1	4	10	W
11/10	Poblense Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3	1-1	1-2	7	9	L
03/10	CF Lorca Deportiva Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3	1-0	2-1	4	9	W
26/09	Orihuela Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3	1-1	4-1	3	10	W
19/09	Valencia B Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3	0-1	2-1	5	7	W
12/09	Alcoyano Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3	0-0	3-0	6	7	W
05/09	CF Intercity Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3	1-0	1-2	7	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yeclano vs Castellon B?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Yeclano win (46%). Probabilities: Yeclano 46%, draw 27%, Castellon B 28%.

How many goals are expected in Yeclano vs Castellon B?

The model expects 2.71 goals (Yeclano 1.55 · Castellon B 1.16), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Yeclano vs Castellon B?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.