Football · Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 · 15/11, 12:00

Prediction: Puente Genil vs Club Atletico Central

Team pages: Puente Genil

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.37Total

Puente Genil1.35

Club Atletico Central1.01

1X2

44% 29% 27%

Puente Genil Draw Club Atletico Central

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Puente Genil 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WLLDLWWDDL

Club Atletico Central 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLLWLLLWWW

Head-to-head

Puente Genil 0–1–1 Club Atletico Central (2 last)

Club Atletico Central2-2Puente Genil
Puente Genil0-1Club Atletico Central

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Puente Genil 1489 · Club Atletico Central 1497

	Puente Genil	Draw	Club Atletico Central
Our model	43%	30%	27%
Market	44%	29%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 2.37 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 11.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Puente Genil	Club Atletico Central
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1	1.3 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.6	1.5 / 2.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.3 / 0.4	5.5 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.10

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.93

Under 2.251.88

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
15:07 +11’	2.05	3.10	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Puente Genil 0–1–1 Club Atletico Central

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/05/25 Spain Tercera Group 10	Club Atletico Central	2-2 HT 1-0	Puente Genil
14/12/24 Spain Tercera Group 10	Puente Genil	0-1 HT 0-1	Club Atletico Central

Standings · Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 · Segunda Federacion 26/27, Group 4

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Rec de Huelva	10	6	3	1	21	8	21
2	Don Benito	10	6	2	2	18	13	20
3	Ciudad Lucena	10	5	4	1	17	10	19
4	CD Badajoz	10	4	5	1	10	7	17
5	CD Estepona	10	4	3	3	18	15	15
6	Betis Deportivo	9	4	3	2	12	7	15
7	Xerez CD	10	4	3	3	12	7	15
8	CP Mijas	10	3	6	1	18	14	15
9	Club Atletico Central	10	5	0	5	13	15	15
10	Sevilla Atletico	10	3	5	2	18	16	14
11	Linares Deportivo	10	3	5	2	13	13	14
12	Puente Genil	10	3	3	4	11	10	12
13	Atletico Sanluqueno	10	2	4	4	15	18	10
14	Marbella FC	10	2	4	4	8	11	10
15	Tenerife B	9	3	1	5	11	14	10
16	UD Tamaraceite	10	2	0	8	8	23	6
17	CA Antoniano	10	1	3	6	10	19	6
18	Las Palmas B	10	1	2	7	5	18	5

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Puente Genil	Club Atletico Central
Don Benito	2-3 L	2-4 L
Sevilla Atletico	1-1 D	2-0 W
Las Palmas B	2-1 W	1-0 W
UD Tamaraceite	1-0 W	1-0 W
Marbella FC	0-0 D	1-4 L
CD Estepona	0-2 L	2-3 L
Rec de Huelva	1-2 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 3 L	4 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Club Atletico Central (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Puente Genil

WLLDLWWDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Don Benito Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4	0-2	2-3	2	4	L
01/11	Sevilla Atletico Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4	1-1	1-1	3	8	D
25/10	CD Badajoz Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
18/10	Las Palmas B Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4	1-1	2-1	2	9	W
11/10	UD Tamaraceite Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
04/10	Ciudad Lucena Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4	0-1	0-1	7	9	L
27/09	Marbella FC Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4	0-0	0-0	7	5	D
19/09	CD Estepona Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4	0-1	0-2	4	9	L
13/09	Rec de Huelva Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
06/09	CP Mijas Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4	3-0	4-0	–	–	W

Club Atletico Central

WLLWLLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	CA Antoniano Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4	0-0	1-0	1	6	W
01/11	Las Palmas B Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4	1-0	1-0	4	7	W
25/10	UD Tamaraceite Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4	1-0	1-0	4	6	W
18/10	Don Benito Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4	0-2	2-4	2	4	L
11/10	CD Estepona Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4	1-1	2-3	3	9	L
04/10	Linares Deportivo Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4	0-0	0-1	2	5	L
27/09	Sevilla Atletico Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4	2-0	2-0	2	5	W
20/09	Marbella FC Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4	0-3	1-4	4	6	L
13/09	Tenerife B Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4	0-0	1-3	3	6	L
06/09	Rec de Huelva Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4	1-0	2-0	3	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Puente Genil vs Club Atletico Central?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Puente Genil win (44%). Probabilities: Puente Genil 44%, draw 29%, Club Atletico Central 27%.

How many goals are expected in Puente Genil vs Club Atletico Central?

The model expects 2.37 goals (Puente Genil 1.35 · Club Atletico Central 1.01), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Puente Genil vs Club Atletico Central?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.