Football · Finland Ykkonen Women · 17/08, 17:30

Prediction: PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) vs TPS (W)

Team pages: PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) · TPS (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.65Total
PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)1.87
TPS (W)1.78
1X2
40% 23% 37%
PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) Draw TPS (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LWWLLWDDLL
TPS (W) 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
LLDDWLWLDD
Head-to-head
PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) 4–1–1 TPS (W) (6 last)
  • TPS (W)2-2PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)
  • PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)3-1TPS (W)
  • PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)3-2TPS (W)
  • TPS (W)1-0PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)
  • PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)4-1TPS (W)
  • TPS (W)0-1PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) 1475 · TPS (W) 1475
PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)DrawTPS (W)
Our model40%23%37%
Market40%23%37%
Estimated total (ours) 3.65 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours PK Keski-Uusimaa (W): 4-1-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)TPS (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 2.51.3 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)1.3 / 1.10.5 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/10/30%10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 3.81.4 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.3 / 0.11.6 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) 411 TPS (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
19/07/26
Finland Ykkonen Women
TPS (W)2-2
HT 1-2
PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)
09/05/26
Finland Ykkonen Women
PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)3-1
HT 1-1
TPS (W)
05/07/25
Finland Ykkonen Women
PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)3-2
HT 1-1
TPS (W)
21/10/23
Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women
TPS (W)1-0
HT 1-0
PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)
18/10/23
Finland Naisten Liiga Women
PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)4-1
HT 3-1
TPS (W)
14/08/21
Finland Ykkonen Women
TPS (W)0-1
HT 0-1
PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPK Keski-Uusimaa (W)TPS (W)
KTP (W) 1-4 L 1-2 L
EBK (W) 3-4 L 2-0 W
HJK II (W) 3-3 D 1-4 L
ONS (W) 0-3 L 1-1 D
HJS (W) 2-1 W 3-2 W
JyPK (W) 3-2 W 1-5 L
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 3 L 2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: TPS (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)

LWWLLWDDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/08 KTP (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-4 1-4 40 L
25/07 EBK (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
2-1 3-4 40 L
19/07 TPS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
2-1 2-2 42 D
09/07 HJK II (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
2-1 3-3 32 D
04/07 KTP (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
2-1 3-2 33 W
30/06 HJK II (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-1 0-1 85 L
27/06 ONS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 0-3 20 L
14/06 HJS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
2-0 2-1 11 W
23/05 JyPK (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
2-0 3-2 61 W
17/05 EBK (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-2 1-3 30 L

TPS (W)

LLDDWLWLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/07 PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-2 2-2 62 D
12/07 FC Lahti (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-1 1-1 80 D
02/07 JyPK (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-3 1-5 40 L
28/06 HJS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-1 3-2 34 W
24/06 HJK II (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-2 1-4 21 L
05/06 EBK (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-0 2-0 54 W
31/05 FC Honka (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 0-0 31 D
23/05 ONS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 1-1 21 D
17/05 KTP (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 1-2 22 L
09/05 PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-1 1-3 41 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) vs TPS (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) win (40%). Probabilities: PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) 40%, draw 23%, TPS (W) 37%.

How many goals are expected in PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) vs TPS (W)?

The model expects 3.65 goals (PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) 1.87 · TPS (W) 1.78), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) vs TPS (W)?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.