Football · Chile Tercera · 15/08, 22:00

Prediction: CD Constitucion Unido vs Puente Alto

Team pages: CD Constitucion Unido · Puente Alto

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.31Total
CD Constitucion Unido1.96
Puente Alto1.35
1X2
50% 25% 25%
CD Constitucion Unido Draw Puente Alto
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
CD Constitucion Unido 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
WLLWDDDWLL
Puente Alto 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
DLLLDWLLLW
Head-to-head
CD Constitucion Unido 2–1–1 Puente Alto (4 last)
  • Puente Alto2-3CD Constitucion Unido
  • Puente Alto1-0CD Constitucion Unido
  • CD Constitucion Unido3-3Puente Alto
  • CD Constitucion Unido3-0Puente Alto
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Constitucion Unido 1500 · Puente Alto 1451
CD Constitucion UnidoDrawPuente Alto
Our model51%24%26%
Market50%25%25%
Estimated total (ours) 3.31 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Constitucion Unido (rating 1500 vs 1451).
  • H2H favours CD Constitucion Unido: 2-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CD Constitucion UnidoPuente Alto
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 1.51.2 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.40.6 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 5.11.9 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.7 / 0.64.8 / 0.5

Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Constitucion Unido 211 Puente Alto

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DateHomeScoreAway
16/05/26
Chile Tercera
Puente Alto2-3
HT 0-2
CD Constitucion Unido
11/10/25
Chile Tercera
Puente Alto1-0
HT 1-0
CD Constitucion Unido
21/06/25
Chile Tercera
CD Constitucion Unido3-3
HT 0-1
Puente Alto
08/06/24
Chile Tercera
CD Constitucion Unido3-0
HT 1-0
Puente Alto

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCD Constitucion UnidoPuente Alto
Deportes Rancagua 1-2 L 1-5 L
Naval 2-3 L 1-3 L
CD Imperial Unido 2-2 D 1-0 W
Rodelindo Roman 1-1 D 2-2 D
Lautaro de Buin 2-2 D 1-3 L
Atletico Oriente 5-0 W 2-3 L
Comunal Cabrero 0-1 L 1-1 D
Record vs common 1 W 3 D 3 L 1 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: CD Constitucion Unido (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Constitucion Unido

WLLWDDDWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Deportes Rancagua
Chile Tercera
1-1 1-2 510 L
05/08 Naval
Chile Tercera
0-2 2-3 123 L
26/07 Chimbarongo FC
Chile Tercera
0-0 1-0 39 W
11/07 CD Imperial Unido
Chile Tercera
1-0 2-2 103 D
04/07 Rodelindo Roman
Chile Tercera
1-0 1-1 15 D
20/06 Lautaro de Buin
Chile Tercera
0-0 2-2 46 D
13/06 Atletico Oriente
Chile Tercera
2-0 5-0 38 W
06/06 Comunal Cabrero
Chile Tercera
0-0 0-1 36 L
30/05 Club Aguara
Chile Tercera
0-1 1-2 89 L
16/05 Puente Alto
Chile Tercera
2-0 3-2 24 W

Puente Alto

DLLLDWLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/08 Futuro FC
Chile Tercera
0-0 1-0 45 W
01/08 Deportes Rancagua
Chile Tercera
0-4 1-5 64 L
25/07 Naval
Chile Tercera
1-1 1-3 75 L
12/07 Malleco Unido
Chile Tercera
0-1 1-2 55 L
05/07 CD Imperial Unido
Chile Tercera
0-0 1-0 74 W
27/06 Rodelindo Roman
Chile Tercera
1-1 2-2 49 D
21/06 Quintero Unido
Chile Tercera
1-2 1-4 30 L
13/06 Lautaro de Buin
Chile Tercera
1-2 1-3 510 L
06/06 Atletico Oriente
Chile Tercera
1-0 2-3 29 L
30/05 Comunal Cabrero
Chile Tercera
1-0 1-1 42 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Constitucion Unido vs Puente Alto?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Constitucion Unido win (50%). Probabilities: CD Constitucion Unido 50%, draw 25%, Puente Alto 25%.

How many goals are expected in CD Constitucion Unido vs Puente Alto?

The model expects 3.31 goals (CD Constitucion Unido 1.96 · Puente Alto 1.35), with a 56% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Constitucion Unido vs Puente Alto?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.