Football · Chile Tercera · 15/08, 18:30

Prediction: Lautaro de Buin vs Malleco Unido

Team pages: Lautaro de Buin · Malleco Unido

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Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.13Total
Lautaro de Buin1.56
Malleco Unido1.56
1X2
36% 27% 36%
Lautaro de Buin Draw Malleco Unido
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Lautaro de Buin 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
WWWLWDDLDW
Malleco Unido 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
LDWWWWDWWD
Head-to-head
Lautaro de Buin 1–1–0 Malleco Unido (2 last)
  • Lautaro de Buin2-2Malleco Unido
  • Malleco Unido0-1Lautaro de Buin
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lautaro de Buin 1520 · Malleco Unido 1565
Lautaro de BuinDrawMalleco Unido
Our model37%26%37%
Market36%28%36%
Estimated total (ours) 3.13 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Malleco Unido (rating 1520 vs 1565).
  • High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 11.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Lautaro de BuinMalleco Unido
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 1.51.9 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.70.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)3.1 / 6.22.2 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6.5 / 0.35 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Lautaro de Buin 110 Malleco Unido

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DateHomeScoreAway
18/10/25
Chile Tercera
Lautaro de Buin2-2
HT 0-0
Malleco Unido
28/06/25
Chile Tercera
Malleco Unido0-1
HT 0-1
Lautaro de Buin

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLautaro de BuinMalleco Unido
Comunal Cabrero 1-5 L 1-1 D
Club Aguara 1-1 D 1-0 W
CD Constitucion Unido 2-2 D 2-3 L
Puente Alto 3-1 W 2-1 W
Naval 2-1 W 1-1 D
Futuro FC 2-0 W 4-1 W
Record vs common 3 W 2 D 1 L 3 W 2 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lautaro de Buin

WWWLWDDLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Rodelindo Roman
Chile Tercera
0-0 1-0 67 W
11/07 Atletico Oriente
Chile Tercera
1-2 3-3 46 D
04/07 Comunal Cabrero
Chile Tercera
1-3 1-5 63 L
26/06 Club Aguara
Chile Tercera
0-0 1-1 56 D
20/06 CD Constitucion Unido
Chile Tercera
0-0 2-2 46 D
13/06 Puente Alto
Chile Tercera
2-1 3-1 610 W
06/06 Deportes Rancagua
Chile Tercera
0-0 0-2 143 L
30/05 Naval
Chile Tercera
2-1 2-1 67 W
25/04 Quintero Unido
Chile Tercera
0-0 1-0 410 W
19/04 Futuro FC
Chile Tercera
1-0 2-0 710 W

Malleco Unido

LDWWWWDWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/08 Comunal Cabrero
Chile Tercera
0-1 1-1 45 D
25/07 Club Aguara
Chile Tercera
1-0 1-0 82 W
12/07 Puente Alto
Chile Tercera
1-0 2-1 35 W
27/06 Naval
Chile Tercera
0-0 1-1 66 D
21/06 Chimbarongo FC
Chile Tercera
1-0 3-0 52 W
14/06 Futuro FC
Chile Tercera
2-1 4-1 23 W
07/06 CD Imperial Unido
Chile Segunda
1-0 3-2 27 W
03/05 Comunal Cabrero
Chile Tercera
1-0 1-0 38 W
24/04 Club Aguara
Chile Tercera
0-1 1-1 76 D
19/04 CD Constitucion Unido
Chile Tercera
1-1 2-3 710 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lautaro de Buin vs Malleco Unido?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Lautaro de Buin win (36%). Probabilities: Lautaro de Buin 36%, draw 27%, Malleco Unido 36%.

How many goals are expected in Lautaro de Buin vs Malleco Unido?

The model expects 3.13 goals (Lautaro de Buin 1.56 · Malleco Unido 1.56), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Lautaro de Buin vs Malleco Unido?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.