Football · Singapore Premier League 2 · 25/08, 13:30

Prediction: Lion City Sailors FC U23 vs Tanjong Pagar United U23

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.73Total

Lion City Sailors FC U231.86

Tanjong Pagar United U231.86

1X2

39% 21% 39%

Lion City Sailors FC U23 Draw Tanjong Pagar United U23

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Lion City Sailors FC U23 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLLWWW

Tanjong Pagar United U23 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WWWLLLDDDW

Head-to-head

Lion City Sailors FC U23 0–3 Tanjong Pagar United U23 (3 last)

Lion City Sailors FC U232-3Tanjong Pagar United U23
Tanjong Pagar United U234-2Lion City Sailors FC U23
Lion City Sailors FC U231-3Tanjong Pagar United U23

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lion City Sailors FC U23 1470 · Tanjong Pagar United U23 1519

	Lion City Sailors FC U23	Draw	Tanjong Pagar United U23
Our model	38%	23%	38%
Market	40%	20%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 3.73 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tanjong Pagar United U23 (rating 1470 vs 1519).
H2H favours Tanjong Pagar United U23: 3-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Lion City Sailors FC U23	Tanjong Pagar United U23
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 2.1	1.4 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1.1	1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	13/38/50%	33/67/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 3.9	2.3 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.1	4.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.25

X4.50

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.90

Under 3.51.90

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
12:51 +12’	2.25	4.50	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Lion City Sailors FC U23 0–0–3 Tanjong Pagar United U23

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/02/26 Singapore Premier League 2	Lion City Sailors FC U23	2-3 HT 1-2	Tanjong Pagar United U23
17/11/25 Singapore Premier League 2	Tanjong Pagar United U23	4-2 HT 1-0	Lion City Sailors FC U23
01/09/25 Singapore Premier League 2	Lion City Sailors FC U23	1-3	Tanjong Pagar United U23

Standings · Singapore Premier League 2

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Balestier Khalsa FC U23	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Tampines Rovers FC U23	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Albirex Niigata Singapore U23	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Geylang International U23	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hougang United FC U23	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Lion City Sailors FC U23	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Tanjong Pagar United U23	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Young Lions U23	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Lion City Sailors FC U23	Tanjong Pagar United U23
Tampines Rovers FC U23	3-2 W	0-2 L
Albirex Niigata Singapore U23	2-0 W	0-2 L
Young Lions U23	2-5 L	2-2 D
Hougang United FC U23	1-2 L	2-1 W
Balestier Khalsa FC U23	1-4 L	1-1 D
Geylang International U23	1-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	1 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Tanjong Pagar United U23 (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lion City Sailors FC U23

WLLLLLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/04	Tampines Rovers FC U23 Singapore Premier League 2	–	3-2	–	–	W
21/04	Tampines Rovers FC U23 Singapore Premier League 2	0-1	2-1	4	1	W
14/04	Albirex Niigata Singapore U23 Singapore Premier League 2	1-0	2-0	2	7	W
07/04	Young Lions U23 Singapore Premier League 2	1-1	2-5	4	3	L
31/03	Hougang United FC U23 Singapore Premier League 2	–	1-2	–	–	L
17/03	Balestier Khalsa FC U23 Singapore Premier League 2	0-3	1-4	4	4	L
24/02	Geylang International U23 Singapore Premier League 2	1-1	1-2	4	4	L
03/02	Tanjong Pagar United U23 Singapore Premier League 2	1-2	2-3	3	2	L
21/01	Albirex Niigata Singapore U23 Singapore Premier League 2	0-1	1-2	4	2	L
13/01	Young Lions U23 Singapore Premier League 2	0-0	2-0	6	1	W

Tanjong Pagar United U23

WWWLLLDDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/04	Hougang United FC U23 Singapore Premier League 2	1-1	2-1	10	3	W
14/04	Balestier Khalsa FC U23 Singapore Premier League 2	1-1	1-1	6	4	D
07/04	Geylang International U23 Singapore Premier League 2	0-0	1-1	6	6	D
31/03	Young Lions U23 Singapore Premier League 2	–	2-2	–	–	D
17/03	Tampines Rovers FC U23 Singapore Premier League 2	0-0	0-2	3	3	L
24/02	Albirex Niigata Singapore U23 Singapore Premier League 2	0-0	0-2	6	7	L
10/02	Young Lions U23 Singapore Premier League 2	1-1	1-5	3	1	L
03/02	Lion City Sailors FC U23 Singapore Premier League 2	2-1	3-2	2	2	W
27/01	Hougang United FC U23 Singapore Premier League 2	2-0	2-0	4	6	W
20/01	Balestier Khalsa FC U23 Singapore Premier League 2	2-0	2-0	8	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lion City Sailors FC U23 vs Tanjong Pagar United U23?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Lion City Sailors FC U23 win (39%). Probabilities: Lion City Sailors FC U23 39%, draw 21%, Tanjong Pagar United U23 39%.

How many goals are expected in Lion City Sailors FC U23 vs Tanjong Pagar United U23?

The model expects 3.73 goals (Lion City Sailors FC U23 1.86 · Tanjong Pagar United U23 1.86), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Lion City Sailors FC U23 vs Tanjong Pagar United U23?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.