Football · Spain Tercera Group 3 · 26/09, 17:30

Prediction: Escobedo vs Selaya

Team pages: Escobedo · Selaya

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.91Total
Escobedo1.86
Selaya1.05
1X2
56% 24% 20%
Escobedo Draw Selaya
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Escobedo 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
LWDWWWDDLL
Selaya 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
LWDWWDWDLW
Head-to-head
Escobedo 3–2–1 Selaya (6 last)
  • Selaya2-0Escobedo
  • Escobedo3-1Selaya
  • Escobedo2-0Selaya
  • Selaya1-1Escobedo
  • Escobedo1-1Selaya
  • Selaya2-3Escobedo
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Escobedo 1504 · Selaya 1516
EscobedoDrawSelaya
Our model55%25%20%
Market56%24%21%
Estimated total (ours) 2.91 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Escobedo: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

EscobedoSelaya
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 1.51.6 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.41 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/60/20%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 3.42 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.8 / 04.8 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Escobedo 3–2–1 Selaya

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DateHomeScoreAway
08/03/26
Spain Tercera Group 3
Selaya2-0Escobedo
25/10/25
Spain Tercera Group 3
Escobedo3-1Selaya
29/01/22
Spain Tercera Group 3
Escobedo2-0Selaya
03/10/21
Spain Tercera Group 3
Selaya1-1
HT 0-0
Escobedo
29/08/21
Spain Regional Cup
Escobedo1-1
HT 0-0
Selaya
14/03/21
Spain Tercera Group 3
Selaya2-3Escobedo

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 3

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 CD Bezana 3300 839
2 Tropezon 3300 729
2 Vimenor 3300 729
4 SD Revilla 3210 827
5 SD Torina 3210 717
6 Laredo 3201 526
7 CD Cayon 3201 316
8 Castro 3120 425
9 UD Samano 3111 754
10 Velarde 3111 244
11 Selaya 3111 134
12 CD Atletico Mineros 3102 273
13 CD Barquereno 3012 261
13 Naval 3012 261
15 Escobedo 3012 161
16 At. Albericia 3003 150
17 CD Guarnizo 3003 270
18 Solares 3003 160

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentEscobedoSelaya
Laredo 0-2 L 1-1 D
CD Bezana 0-3 L 2-1 W
SD Torina 1-1 D 2-0 W
At. Albericia 3-2 W 1-0 W
Tropezon 0-0 D 0-3 L
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 2 L 3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Selaya (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Escobedo

LWDWWWDDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 Laredo
Spain Tercera Group 3
0-2 0-2 37 L
12/09 CD Bezana
Spain Tercera Group 3
– 0-3 –– L
05/09 SD Torina
Spain Tercera Group 3
– 1-1 –– D
17/05 Laredo
Spain Tercera Group 3
0-0 0-0 46 D
09/05 Montanas del Pas
Spain Tercera Group 3
– 7-3 –– W
03/05 At. Albericia
Spain Tercera Group 3
– 3-2 –– W
26/04 Vimenor
Spain Tercera Group 3
– 2-0 –– W
19/04 Tropezon
Spain Tercera Group 3
0-0 0-0 35 D
11/04 UC Cartes
Spain Tercera Group 3
1-0 3-1 48 W
05/04 Gimnastica de Torrelavega
Spain Tercera Group 3
0-0 0-3 33 L

Selaya

LWDWWDWDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 At. Albericia
Spain Tercera Group 3
1-0 1-0 39 W
12/09 Tropezon
Spain Tercera Group 3
0-1 0-3 21 L
06/09 Castro
Spain Tercera Group 3
0-0 0-0 37 D
09/05 At. Albericia
Spain Tercera Group 3
– 4-2 –– W
03/05 Laredo
Spain Tercera Group 3
– 1-1 –– D
26/04 CD Bezana
Spain Tercera Group 3
– 2-1 –– W
18/04 SD Torina
Spain Tercera Group 3
– 2-0 –– W
12/04 CD Barquereno
Spain Tercera Group 3
– 2-2 –– D
03/04 Noja
Spain Tercera Group 3
3-0 3-0 65 W
29/03 Castro
Spain Tercera Group 3
1-1 1-3 34 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Escobedo vs Selaya?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Escobedo win (56%). Probabilities: Escobedo 56%, draw 24%, Selaya 20%.

How many goals are expected in Escobedo vs Selaya?

The model expects 2.91 goals (Escobedo 1.86 · Selaya 1.05), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Escobedo vs Selaya?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.