Football · Italy Serie B Women · 13/09, 15:00

Prediction: Frosinone (W) vs Lumezzane (W)

Team pages: Frosinone (W) · Lumezzane (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.88Total
Frosinone (W)1.12
Lumezzane (W)1.76
1X2
23% 25% 52%
Frosinone (W) Draw Lumezzane (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Frosinone (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
LDLLWWWWLD
Lumezzane (W) 8-0-2 (W-D-L)
WLWWLWWWWW
Head-to-head
Frosinone (W) 0–2–0 Lumezzane (W) (2 last)
  • Frosinone (W)1-1Lumezzane (W)
  • Lumezzane (W)1-1Frosinone (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Frosinone (W) 1503 · Lumezzane (W) 1559
Frosinone (W)DrawLumezzane (W)
Our model23%26%51%
Market24%24%52%
Estimated total (ours) 2.88 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lumezzane (W) (rating 1503 vs 1559).
  • High corners: 11.2 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Frosinone (W)Lumezzane (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 1.62.1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 10.4 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)13/25/63%43/57/0%
Corners (HT / FT)1.4 / 3.53.3 / 7.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.4 / 01.3 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Frosinone (W) 020 Lumezzane (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
25/01/26
Italy Serie B Women
Frosinone (W)1-1
HT 1-0
Lumezzane (W)
07/09/25
Italy Serie B Women
Lumezzane (W)1-1
HT 1-0
Frosinone (W)

Standings · Italy Serie B Women

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Frosinone (W) 2110 534
2 Bologna (W) 1100 403
3 Lumezzane (W) 2101 343
4 ASD Moncalieri Calcio 1953 (W) 1100 103
4 Arezzo (W) 1100 103
6 Verona (W) 2101 333
7 Genoa (W) 2101 253
8 ASD Res Roma (W) 1010 221
9 Vicenza (W) 0000 000
9 Venezia (W) 0000 000
11 Brescia (W) 1001 120
11 Cesena (W) 1001 120
13 Calcio Catania (W) 1001 010
13 San Marino Academy (W) 1001 010

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFrosinone (W)Lumezzane (W)
ASD Res Roma (W) 2-2 D 2-1 W
Cesena (W) 0-4 L 5-2 W
Venezia (W) 3-1 W 4-2 W
Verona (W) 1-0 W 2-1 W
Freedom FC Women 1-2 L 1-2 L
ASD Trastevere (W) 2-2 D 1-0 W
Arezzo (W) 1-2 L 2-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 3 L 6 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Lumezzane (W) (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Frosinone (W)

LDLLWWWWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 ASD Res Roma (W)
Italy Serie B Women
1-2 2-2 44 D
17/05 Cesena (W)
Italy Serie B Women
0-1 0-4 25 L
10/05 Brescia (W)
Italy Serie B Women
0-0 1-0 52 W
03/05 Venezia (W)
Italy Serie B Women
3-1 W
26/04 San Marino Academy (W)
Italy Serie B Women
2-0 2-1 51 W
04/04 Verona (W)
Italy Serie B Women
0-0 1-0 40 W
29/03 Freedom FC Women
Italy Serie B Women
1-2 L
22/03 ASD Res Roma (W)
Italy Serie B Women
0-1 1-2 43 L
15/03 ASD Trastevere (W)
Italy Serie B Women
1-2 2-2 13 D
22/02 Arezzo (W)
Italy Serie B Women
0-2 1-2 31 L

Lumezzane (W)

WLWWLWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 Verona (W)
Italy Serie B Women
1-0 2-1 W
17/05 Verona (W)
Italy Serie B Women
0-0 2-1 70 W
10/05 Venezia (W)
Italy Serie B Women
0-0 4-2 W
01/05 Cesena (W)
Italy Serie B Women
5-2 W
25/04 Arezzo (W)
Italy Serie B Women
2-0 W
04/04 Vicenza (W)
Italy Serie B Women
0-0 0-1 124 L
29/03 ASD Res Roma (W)
Italy Serie B Women
1-0 2-1 W
22/03 ASD Trastevere (W)
Italy Serie B Women
1-0 W
14/03 Freedom FC Women
Italy Serie B Women
0-0 1-2 40 L
21/02 Bologna (W)
Italy Serie B Women
1-0 2-1 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Frosinone (W) vs Lumezzane (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Lumezzane (W) win (52%). Probabilities: Frosinone (W) 23%, draw 25%, Lumezzane (W) 52%.

How many goals are expected in Frosinone (W) vs Lumezzane (W)?

The model expects 2.88 goals (Frosinone (W) 1.12 · Lumezzane (W) 1.76), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Frosinone (W) vs Lumezzane (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.