Football · Spain Tercera Group 17 · 15/11, 15:30

Prediction: CD Robres vs Illueca

Team pages: CD Robres

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.72Total

CD Robres1.48

Illueca1.25

1X2

41% 28% 31%

CD Robres Draw Illueca

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Robres 0-5-5 (W-D-L)

LLDLLLDDDD

Illueca 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLLWWDLWLD

Head-to-head

CD Robres 2–1–3 Illueca (6 last)

CD Robres2-3Illueca
Illueca0-1CD Robres
CD Robres2-0Illueca
Illueca1-1CD Robres
CD Robres1-2Illueca
Illueca3-2CD Robres

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Robres 1432 · Illueca 1490

	CD Robres	Draw	Illueca
Our model	41%	28%	31%
Market	41%	28%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.72 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Illueca (rating 1432 vs 1490).
H2H favours Illueca: 3-1-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Robres	Illueca
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2	1.1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 2	– / –
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/67/33%	//%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3	– / –
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.3 / 0	– / –

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.20

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.82

Under 2.251.98

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Pinn 2.23
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.90 → 2.90	Pinn 3.07 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.2% Pinnacle margin 10%

Time*	1	X	2
16:01 +15’	2.15	3.20	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:11 +5’	2.23	3.07	3.07

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Robres 2–1–3 Illueca

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/03/26 Spain Tercera Group 17	CD Robres	2-3	Illueca
08/11/25 Spain Tercera Group 17	Illueca	0-1	CD Robres
04/03/23 Spain Tercera Group 17	CD Robres	2-0	Illueca
06/11/22 Spain Tercera Group 17	Illueca	1-1	CD Robres
24/04/22 Spain Tercera Group 17	CD Robres	1-2	Illueca
19/12/21 Spain Tercera Group 17	Illueca	3-2	CD Robres

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 17

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Zaragoza B	10	7	2	1	22	8	23
2	Ejea	10	6	2	2	17	11	20
3	CD Cuarte	10	5	3	2	20	12	18
4	Brea	10	5	3	2	13	5	18
5	CD La Almunia	10	5	1	4	15	13	16
6	Caspe	10	3	6	1	17	13	15
7	Monzón	10	4	3	3	14	17	15
8	Huesca B	10	3	5	2	9	7	14
9	CD Binefar	10	3	4	3	18	17	13
10	CD Sietamo	10	3	4	3	15	14	13
11	Fraga	10	3	3	4	9	10	12
12	AD Almudevar	10	3	3	4	9	10	12
13	Epila CF	10	3	3	4	12	12	12
14	Andorra CF	10	3	3	4	11	16	12
15	Illueca	10	3	2	5	11	14	11
16	CDJ Tamarite	10	3	0	7	15	23	9
17	CD Robres	10	0	5	5	10	20	5
18	CD Belchite 97	10	0	4	6	6	21	4

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Robres	Illueca
CD Belchite 97	1-1 D	3-0 W
Ejea	1-1 D	0-2 L
Brea	0-0 D	0-3 L
CD Cuarte	2-2 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 4 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: CD Robres (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Robres

LLDLLLDDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	CD Belchite 97 Spain Tercera Group 17	1-1	1-1	3	5	D
01/11	Ejea Spain Tercera Group 17	–	1-1	–	–	D
25/10	Brea Spain Tercera Group 17	–	0-0	–	–	D
18/10	CD Cuarte Spain Tercera Group 17	–	2-2	–	–	D
10/10	Epila CF Spain Tercera Group 17	–	0-3	–	–	L
03/10	CD Binefar Spain Tercera Group 17	–	1-2	–	–	L
27/09	Real Zaragoza B Spain Tercera Group 17	0-3	0-4	4	9	L
19/09	Huesca B Spain Tercera Group 17	–	1-1	–	–	D
13/09	Monzón Spain Tercera Group 17	2-2	3-4	2	5	L
05/09	Fraga Spain Tercera Group 17	–	1-2	–	–	L

Illueca

LLLWWDLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Caspe Spain Tercera Group 17	–	2-2	–	–	D
31/10	CD La Almunia Spain Tercera Group 17	–	0-2	–	–	L
24/10	CDJ Tamarite Spain Tercera Group 17	–	4-0	–	–	W
18/10	Andorra CF Spain Tercera Group 17	–	1-3	–	–	L
10/10	CD Sietamo Spain Tercera Group 17	–	0-0	–	–	D
04/10	AD Almudevar Spain Tercera Group 17	–	1-0	–	–	W
27/09	CD Belchite 97 Spain Tercera Group 17	–	3-0	–	–	W
20/09	Ejea Spain Tercera Group 17	–	0-2	–	–	L
12/09	Brea Spain Tercera Group 17	–	0-3	–	–	L
06/09	CD Cuarte Spain Tercera Group 17	–	0-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Robres vs Illueca?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Robres win (41%). Probabilities: CD Robres 41%, draw 28%, Illueca 31%.

How many goals are expected in CD Robres vs Illueca?

The model expects 2.72 goals (CD Robres 1.48 · Illueca 1.25), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Robres vs Illueca?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.