Football · Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League · 02/09, 15:00

Prediction: Scottland FC Mabvuku vs FC Platinum

Team pages: Scottland FC Mabvuku · FC Platinum

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Prediction summary

Expected goals

2Total

Scottland FC Mabvuku1.49

FC Platinum0.51

1X2

61% 27% 12%

Scottland FC Mabvuku Draw FC Platinum

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 60% Not both to score 55%

Most likely score

1-0 19%

Recent form · 10 last

Scottland FC Mabvuku 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWLWDDW

FC Platinum 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

LDDDDWLLDW

Head-to-head

Scottland FC Mabvuku 2–2–0 FC Platinum (4 last)

Scottland FC Mabvuku3-1FC Platinum
FC Platinum0-0Scottland FC Mabvuku
FC Platinum2-5Scottland FC Mabvuku
Scottland FC Mabvuku1-1FC Platinum

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Scottland FC Mabvuku 1586 · FC Platinum 1474

	Scottland FC Mabvuku	Draw	FC Platinum
Our model	60%	28%	12%
Market	62%	26%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 2 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Scottland FC Mabvuku (rating 1586 vs 1474).
H2H favours Scottland FC Mabvuku: 2-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Scottland FC Mabvuku	FC Platinum
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.3	0.5 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/17/33%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.4	1.5 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0.2	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.45

X3.50

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.85

2 (+1)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 21.95

Under 21.85

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 1.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.45 → 1.45	Bet365 1.45
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
13:55 +15’	1.45	3.50	7.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Scottland FC Mabvuku 2–2–0 FC Platinum

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/08/26 Zimbabwe Super Cup	Scottland FC Mabvuku	3-1 HT 2-1	FC Platinum
09/05/26 Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	FC Platinum	0-0	Scottland FC Mabvuku
02/08/25 Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	FC Platinum	2-5	Scottland FC Mabvuku
21/04/25 Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	Scottland FC Mabvuku	1-1 HT 1-0	FC Platinum

Standings · Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Scottland FC Mabvuku	27	16	9	2	42	10	57
2	Hardrock FC	27	16	6	5	46	18	54
3	Ngezi Platinum FC	27	12	11	4	33	23	47
4	Dynamos FC	27	11	13	3	37	20	46
5	Herentals FC	27	13	6	8	29	24	45
6	CAPS United	27	11	10	6	32	24	43
7	Highlanders FC	27	9	14	4	26	20	41
8	MWOS FC	27	9	11	7	27	21	38
9	Chicken Inn FC	27	10	7	10	21	23	37
10	FC Platinum	27	7	14	6	18	20	35
11	Simba Bhora	27	8	10	9	28	28	34
12	Bulawayo Chiefs FC	27	7	10	10	23	29	31
13	ZPC Kariba FC	27	5	13	9	17	25	28
14	FC Hunters	27	5	12	10	21	33	27
15	Agama FC	27	5	7	15	16	35	22
16	Telone FC	27	4	8	15	17	36	20
17	Manica Diamonds FC	27	4	7	16	14	42	19
18	Triangle United	27	4	6	17	18	34	18

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Scottland FC Mabvuku	FC Platinum
Simba Bhora	2-1 W	1-1 D
Dynamos FC	1-1 D	0-1 L
MWOS FC	0-0 D	0-2 L
Bulawayo Chiefs FC	2-1 W	1-0 W
Highlanders FC	0-1 L	1-1 D
Telone FC	2-0 W	0-0 D
FC Hunters	3-0 W	1-1 D
Manica Diamonds FC	5-0 W	1-1 D
Ngezi Platinum FC	2-0 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	6 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 5 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Scottland FC Mabvuku (7 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Scottland FC Mabvuku

WWWWWLWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Simba Bhora Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	–	2-1	–	–	W
19/08	Dynamos FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	–	1-1	–	–	D
01/08	MWOS FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	0-0	0-0	9	1	D
22/07	Bulawayo Chiefs FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
19/07	Highlanders FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	0-1	0-1	7	9	L
10/07	Telone FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	–	2-0	–	–	W
04/07	FC Hunters Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	1-0	3-0	2	2	W
26/06	Manica Diamonds FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	3-0	5-0	4	1	W
20/06	Ngezi Platinum FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	–	2-0	–	–	W
14/06	Hardrock FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	2-0	2-0	5	1	W

FC Platinum

LDDDDWLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Agama FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	–	1-0	–	–	W
01/08	Simba Bhora Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	–	1-1	–	–	D
25/07	MWOS FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	0-0	0-2	4	3	L
22/07	Dynamos FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	–	0-1	–	–	L
18/07	Bulawayo Chiefs FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	1-0	1-0	2	3	W
11/07	Highlanders FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	–	1-1	–	–	D
04/07	Telone FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	–	0-0	–	–	D
27/06	FC Hunters Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	–	1-1	–	–	D
21/06	Manica Diamonds FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	–	1-1	–	–	D
13/06	Ngezi Platinum FC Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League	–	0-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Scottland FC Mabvuku vs FC Platinum?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Scottland FC Mabvuku win (61%). Probabilities: Scottland FC Mabvuku 61%, draw 27%, FC Platinum 12%.

How many goals are expected in Scottland FC Mabvuku vs FC Platinum?

The model expects 2 goals (Scottland FC Mabvuku 1.49 · FC Platinum 0.51), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Scottland FC Mabvuku vs FC Platinum?

The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.