Football · Panama Liga Prom · 14/08, 03:00

Prediction: UMECIT Reserves vs Champions FC Academy

Team pages: UMECIT Reserves · Champions FC Academy

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.69Total

UMECIT Reserves1.91

Champions FC Academy1.78

1X2

40% 25% 35%

UMECIT Reserves Draw Champions FC Academy

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

UMECIT Reserves 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWLWLWWDLL

Champions FC Academy 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLWLDLWLLW

Head-to-head

UMECIT Reserves 4–1–1 Champions FC Academy (6 last)

Champions FC Academy3-1UMECIT Reserves
UMECIT Reserves3-1Champions FC Academy
UMECIT Reserves5-0Champions FC Academy
Champions FC Academy1-5UMECIT Reserves
Champions FC Academy2-3UMECIT Reserves
UMECIT Reserves0-0Champions FC Academy

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · UMECIT Reserves 1520 · Champions FC Academy 1473

	UMECIT Reserves	Draw	Champions FC Academy
Our model	41%	23%	36%
Market	40%	26%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 3.69 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours UMECIT Reserves (rating 1520 vs 1473).
H2H favours UMECIT Reserves: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	UMECIT Reserves	Champions FC Academy
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.6	1.3 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.4	0.6 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	29/71/0%	13/38/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.6	1.7 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.6	5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.40

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.77

2 (0)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 31.88

Under 31.93

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.3%

Time*	1	X	2
13:56 +18’	2.25	3.40	2.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · UMECIT Reserves 4–1–1 Champions FC Academy

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/04/26 Panama Liga Prom	Champions FC Academy	3-1 HT 1-1	UMECIT Reserves
11/02/26 Panama Liga Prom	UMECIT Reserves	3-1 HT 2-0	Champions FC Academy
19/10/25 Panama Liga Prom	UMECIT Reserves	5-0 HT 3-0	Champions FC Academy
26/07/25 Panama Liga Prom	Champions FC Academy	1-5 HT 0-1	UMECIT Reserves
10/05/25 Panama Liga Prom	Champions FC Academy	2-3 HT 1-3	UMECIT Reserves
13/02/25 Panama Liga Prom	UMECIT Reserves	0-0 HT 0-0	Champions FC Academy

Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, East-North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Panama City FC	3	2	1	0	5	2	7
2	Academia Costa Del Este	3	2	1	0	5	3	7
3	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves	3	1	1	1	5	6	4
4	CD Arabe Unido Reserves	3	1	0	2	3	2	3
5	Champions FC Academy	3	1	0	2	5	6	3
6	UMECIT Reserves	3	0	1	2	2	6	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	UMECIT Reserves	Champions FC Academy
CD Arabe Unido Reserves	0-3 L	1-2 L
Academia Costa Del Este	1-2 L	0-1 L
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves	1-1 D	5-3 W
Panama City FC	2-0 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Champions FC Academy (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

UMECIT Reserves

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-3	6	2	L
30/07	Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-2	3	5	L
24/07	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-1	1-1	6	5	D
01/05	Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom	–	2-1	–	–	W
25/04	Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom	–	2-0	–	–	W
18/04	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-1	2-3	3	6	L
12/04	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom	2-0	5-0	1	4	W
02/04	Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom	1-1	1-3	10	9	L
28/03	Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom	1-0	2-1	3	5	W
22/03	Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	3-2	–	–	W

Champions FC Academy

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom	4-1	5-3	3	5	W
02/08	Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-2	2	4	L
24/07	Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-1	4	7	L
30/04	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-1	2-1	4	3	W
25/04	Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom	0-3	0-9	5	8	L
18/04	Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
11/04	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-2	4	4	L
02/04	UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-1	3-1	5	9	W
27/03	Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	0-6	–	–	L
21/03	Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in UMECIT Reserves vs Champions FC Academy?

According to our model, the most likely result is a UMECIT Reserves win (40%). Probabilities: UMECIT Reserves 40%, draw 25%, Champions FC Academy 35%.

How many goals are expected in UMECIT Reserves vs Champions FC Academy?

The model expects 3.69 goals (UMECIT Reserves 1.91 · Champions FC Academy 1.78), with a 57% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in UMECIT Reserves vs Champions FC Academy?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.