Football · Algeria Division 2 · 12/09, 17:00

Prediction: MC Saida vs WA Mostaganem

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.14Total

MC Saida1.43

WA Mostaganem0.71

1X2

54% 29% 18%

MC Saida Draw WA Mostaganem

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 64% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-0 16%

Recent form · 10 last

MC Saida 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WLLDDWLDWL

WA Mostaganem 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLDLLWLWLL

Head-to-head

MC Saida 2–2–0 WA Mostaganem (4 last)

WA Mostaganem1-2MC Saida
MC Saida2-0WA Mostaganem
MC Saida2-2WA Mostaganem
WA Mostaganem1-1MC Saida

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MC Saida 1489 · WA Mostaganem 1434

	MC Saida	Draw	WA Mostaganem
Our model	53%	29%	17%
Market	54%	28%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 2.14 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MC Saida (rating 1489 vs 1434).
H2H favours MC Saida: 2-2-0.
High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MC Saida	WA Mostaganem
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 0.9	0.9 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.7	0.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 7.8	1.4 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.1	3.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.67

X3.20

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.95

2 (+0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 21.88

Under 21.93

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
17:19 +8’	1.67	3.20	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · MC Saida 2–2–0 WA Mostaganem

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/05/26 Algeria Division 2	WA Mostaganem	1-2 HT 1-1	MC Saida
27/12/25 Algeria Division 2	MC Saida	2-0 HT 1-0	WA Mostaganem
27/02/25 Algeria Division 2	MC Saida	2-2 HT 0-1	WA Mostaganem
23/10/24 Algeria Division 2	WA Mostaganem	1-1 HT 1-1	MC Saida

Standings · Algeria Division 2 · Ligue 2 26/27, Center-West

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	ASM Oran	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	ES Mostaganem	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	ESM Kolea	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	GC Mascara	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	IRB Sidi M'hamed Benali	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	JRB Taghit	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	JSM Tiaret	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MC El Bayadh	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MC Saida	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	NA Hussein Dey	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	RC Arba	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	RC Kouba	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	USM Blida	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	USM El Harrach	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	WA Mostaganem	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	WA Tlemcen	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MC Saida	WA Mostaganem
JS Tixeraine	1-2 L	0-2 L
GC Mascara	1-1 D	0-3 L
ASM Oran	0-1 L	1-0 W
ESM Kolea	2-0 W	1-2 L
JSM Tiaret	0-0 D	3-0 W
RC Arba	0-0 D	2-2 D
NA Hussein Dey	0-2 L	1-2 L
WA Tlemcen	0-1 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 4 L	2 W 1 D 5 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MC Saida

WLLDDWLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/05	JS Tixeraine Algeria Division 2	1-2	1-2	11	1	L
01/05	WA Mostaganem Algeria Division 2	1-1	2-1	1	2	W
25/04	GC Mascara Algeria Division 2	0-1	1-1	12	0	D
18/04	ASM Oran Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
10/04	ESM Kolea Algeria Division 2	0-0	2-0	10	1	W
04/04	JSM Tiaret Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
28/03	RC Arba Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-0	7	9	D
14/03	NA Hussein Dey Algeria Division 2	0-1	0-2	0	6	L
09/03	WA Tlemcen Algeria Division 2	0-1	0-1	15	6	L
25/02	US Bechar Djedid Algeria Division 2	0-1	3-1	8	4	W

WA Mostaganem

LLDLLWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/05	USM El Harrach Algeria Division 2	0-1	0-3	4	1	L
01/05	MC Saida Algeria Division 2	1-1	1-2	3	2	L
25/04	ASM Oran Algeria Division 2	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
18/04	GC Mascara Algeria Division 2	0-1	0-3	4	3	L
09/04	JSM Tiaret Algeria Division 2	1-0	3-0	4	1	W
04/04	JS Tixeraine Algeria Division 2	0-2	0-2	2	3	L
28/03	NA Hussein Dey Algeria Division 2	0-0	1-2	4	3	L
14/03	RC Arba Algeria Division 2	0-0	2-2	5	6	D
06/03	ESM Kolea Algeria Division 2	1-2	1-2	9	5	L
28/02	WA Tlemcen Algeria Division 2	0-1	0-1	5	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MC Saida vs WA Mostaganem?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MC Saida win (54%). Probabilities: MC Saida 54%, draw 29%, WA Mostaganem 18%.

How many goals are expected in MC Saida vs WA Mostaganem?

The model expects 2.14 goals (MC Saida 1.43 · WA Mostaganem 0.71), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in MC Saida vs WA Mostaganem?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.