Football · Algeria Division 2 · 11/09, 17:00

Prediction: USM Annaba vs NC Magra

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.04Total

USM Annaba1.36

NC Magra0.69

1X2

52% 29% 18%

USM Annaba Draw NC Magra

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 66% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

1-0 16%

Recent form · 10 last

USM Annaba 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLWWWDDLLL

NC Magra 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWLDWLWLLL

Head-to-head

USM Annaba 1–3 NC Magra (4 last)

NC Magra1-0USM Annaba
USM Annaba2-1NC Magra
USM Annaba0-1NC Magra
NC Magra1-0USM Annaba

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · USM Annaba 1494 · NC Magra 1450

	USM Annaba	Draw	NC Magra
Our model	52%	31%	18%
Market	53%	28%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 2.04 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours USM Annaba (rating 1494 vs 1450).
H2H favours NC Magra: 3-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	USM Annaba	NC Magra
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 0.8	0.6 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.2	2.4 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.1	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.70

X3.20

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.98

2 (+0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 21.95

Under 21.85

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 1.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:42

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
15:40 +2’	1.70	3.20	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · USM Annaba 1–0–3 NC Magra

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/01/26 Algeria Division 2	NC Magra	1-0 HT 1-0	USM Annaba
20/09/25 Algeria Division 2	USM Annaba	2-1 HT 0-1	NC Magra
20/04/19 Algeria Division 2	USM Annaba	0-1 HT 0-0	NC Magra
07/11/18 Algeria Division 2	NC Magra	1-0 HT 1-0	USM Annaba

Standings · Algeria Division 2 · Ligue 2 26/27, Center-East

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	AS Khroub	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CA Batna	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CR Beni Thour	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Nrb Nezla	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Azazga	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	JS Djijel	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	JSM Skikda	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MO Bejaia	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MO Constantine	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MSP Batna	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	NC Magra	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	NRB Beni Oulbene	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	NRB Teleghma	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Paradou AC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	US Chaouia	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	USM Annaba	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	USM Annaba	NC Magra
CA Batna	0-2 L	2-1 W
MO Bejaia	0-1 L	0-2 L
JS Djijel	0-1 L	0-2 L
MO Constantine	0-0 D	1-1 D
CR Beni Thour	0-0 D	1-0 W
US Biskra	3-0 W	0-2 L
IB Khemis El Khechna	2-1 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: USM Annaba (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

USM Annaba

WLWWWDDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/05	CA Batna Algeria Division 2	0-2	0-2	0	0	L
02/05	MO Bejaia Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-1	4	1	L
21/04	JS Djijel Algeria Division 2	0-1	0-1	5	2	L
17/04	MO Constantine Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-0	11	7	D
10/04	CR Beni Thour Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
04/04	US Biskra Algeria Division 2	1-0	3-0	6	2	W
28/03	IB Khemis El Khechna Algeria Division 2	1-0	2-1	4	4	W
14/03	HB Chelghoum Laid Algeria Division 2	1-0	1-0	6	6	W
06/03	MSP Batna Algeria Division 2	1-2	1-3	8	7	L
27/02	US Chaouia Algeria Division 2	1-0	1-0	4	6	W

NC Magra

LWLDWLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/05	JS Bordj Menaiel Algeria Division 2	0-1	0-2	4	5	L
02/05	NRB Beni Oulbene Algeria Division 2	0-1	0-4	7	0	L
21/04	IB Khemis El Khechna Algeria Division 2	1-1	1-2	7	1	L
17/04	NRB Teleghma Algeria Division 2	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
10/04	US Biskra Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-2	2	1	L
04/04	CA Batna Algeria Division 2	0-0	2-1	3	7	W
27/03	MO Constantine Algeria Division 2	0-1	1-1	1	4	D
14/03	MO Bejaia Algeria Division 2	0-1	0-2	8	3	L
06/03	CR Beni Thour Algeria Division 2	1-0	1-0	0	4	W
27/02	JS Djijel Algeria Division 2	0-1	0-2	3	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in USM Annaba vs NC Magra?

According to our model, the most likely result is a USM Annaba win (52%). Probabilities: USM Annaba 52%, draw 29%, NC Magra 18%.

How many goals are expected in USM Annaba vs NC Magra?

The model expects 2.04 goals (USM Annaba 1.36 · NC Magra 0.69), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in USM Annaba vs NC Magra?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.