Football · Algeria Division 2 · 12/09, 17:00

Prediction: WA Tlemcen vs JSM Tiaret

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.97Total

WA Tlemcen1.28

JSM Tiaret0.7

1X2

50% 31% 20%

WA Tlemcen Draw JSM Tiaret

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 60% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

1-0 16%

Recent form · 10 last

WA Tlemcen 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WWDLDLWLWL

JSM Tiaret 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLWLDLDWLL

Head-to-head

WA Tlemcen 0–2–2 JSM Tiaret (4 last)

JSM Tiaret3-0WA Tlemcen
WA Tlemcen0-0JSM Tiaret
WA Tlemcen0-0JSM Tiaret
JSM Tiaret1-0WA Tlemcen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · WA Tlemcen 1490 · JSM Tiaret 1482

	WA Tlemcen	Draw	JSM Tiaret
Our model	49%	32%	19%
Market	50%	30%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 1.97 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours JSM Tiaret: 2-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	WA Tlemcen	JSM Tiaret
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1	1.2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3	1.8 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.1	3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.00

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 22.02

Under 21.77

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
15:07 +2’	1.80	3.00	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · WA Tlemcen 0–2–2 JSM Tiaret

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/02/26 Algeria Division 2	JSM Tiaret	3-0 HT 1-0	WA Tlemcen
17/10/25 Algeria Division 2	WA Tlemcen	0-0 HT 0-0	JSM Tiaret
06/05/23 Algeria Division 2	WA Tlemcen	0-0	JSM Tiaret
17/12/22 Algeria Division 2	JSM Tiaret	1-0 HT 1-0	WA Tlemcen

Standings · Algeria Division 2 · Ligue 2 26/27, Center-West

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	ASM Oran	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	ES Mostaganem	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	ESM Kolea	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	GC Mascara	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	IRB Sidi M'hamed Benali	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	JRB Taghit	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	JSM Tiaret	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MC El Bayadh	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MC Saida	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	NA Hussein Dey	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	RC Arba	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	RC Kouba	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	USM Blida	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	USM El Harrach	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	WA Mostaganem	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	WA Tlemcen	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	WA Tlemcen	JSM Tiaret
CR Temouchent	0-2 L	0-1 L
US Bechar Djedid	3-1 W	1-3 L
RC Kouba	1-4 L	1-1 D
CRB Adrar	1-1 D	4-1 W
ASM Oran	0-1 L	0-1 L
USM El Harrach	0-0 D	0-1 L
MC Saida	1-0 W	0-0 D
WA Mostaganem	1-0 W	0-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	1 W 2 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: WA Tlemcen (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

WA Tlemcen

WWDLDLWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/05	CR Temouchent Algeria Division 2	0-1	0-2	1	2	L
01/05	ESM Kolea Algeria Division 2	0-0	2-0	2	3	W
25/04	JS El Biar Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
18/04	US Bechar Djedid Algeria Division 2	1-0	3-1	6	3	W
10/04	RC Kouba Algeria Division 2	0-2	1-4	1	0	L
04/04	CRB Adrar Algeria Division 2	1-1	1-1	2	5	D
27/03	ASM Oran Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-1	4	1	L
14/03	USM El Harrach Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-0	1	8	D
09/03	MC Saida Algeria Division 2	1-0	1-0	6	6	W
28/02	WA Mostaganem Algeria Division 2	1-0	1-0	2	6	W

JSM Tiaret

WLWLDLDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/05	US Bechar Djedid Algeria Division 2	1-1	1-3	7	2	L
01/05	CR Temouchent Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
25/04	CRB Adrar Algeria Division 2	1-0	4-1	4	4	W
18/04	RC Kouba Algeria Division 2	1-1	1-1	1	2	D
09/04	WA Mostaganem Algeria Division 2	0-1	0-3	6	1	L
04/04	MC Saida Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-0	1	5	D
28/03	USM El Harrach Algeria Division 2	0-1	0-1	5	5	L
14/03	GC Mascara Algeria Division 2	1-1	2-1	5	3	W
07/03	ASM Oran Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-1	1	4	L
28/02	JS Tixeraine Algeria Division 2	2-1	4-1	2	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in WA Tlemcen vs JSM Tiaret?

According to our model, the most likely result is a WA Tlemcen win (50%). Probabilities: WA Tlemcen 50%, draw 31%, JSM Tiaret 20%.

How many goals are expected in WA Tlemcen vs JSM Tiaret?

The model expects 1.97 goals (WA Tlemcen 1.28 · JSM Tiaret 0.7), with a 54% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in WA Tlemcen vs JSM Tiaret?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.