Prediction: Vibonese vs Modica
Team pages: Vibonese
| Vibonese | Draw | Modica | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 24% | 16% |
| Market | 60% | 23% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vibonese (rating 1569 vs 1503).
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Vibonese | Modica | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1 | 1.2 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 38/50/13% | 0/33/67% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.5 | 2.7 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.4 | 5 / 0 |
Standings · Italy Serie D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 26 |
| 2 | Sambiase | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 26 |
| 3 | Vibonese | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 24 |
| 4 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 19 |
| 5 | Milazzo | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 19 |
| 6 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 18 |
| 7 | Igea Virtus | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 25 | 22 | 18 |
| 8 | Città di Gela | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 15 |
| 9 | Siracusa | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 14 |
| 10 | ASD Licata | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 22 | 14 |
| 11 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 14 |
| 12 | Nissa FC | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 12 |
| 13 | Modica | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 10 |
| 14 | Trapani | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 9 |
| 15 | Vigor Lamezia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 8 |
| 16 | ASD CastrumFavara | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 8 |
| 17 | ASD Ragusa | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 23 | 3 |
| 18 | Enna Calcio | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 3 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Vibonese | Modica |
|---|---|---|
| ASD CastrumFavara | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Milazzo | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| ASD Ragusa | 3-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Città di Gela | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Reggina | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 2-0 W | 1-5 L |
| Siracusa | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 3 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Vibonese (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vibonese
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | ASD CastrumFavara Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 01/11 | Milazzo Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 25/10 | ASD Ragusa Italy Serie D |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/10 | Città di Gela Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 11/10 | Reggina Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 04/10 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 27/09 | Nissa FC Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 20/09 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 16/09 | Igea Virtus Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 12/09 | Siracusa Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Modica
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | ASD Licata Italy Serie D |
– | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 01/11 | Città di Gela Italy Serie D |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 25/10 | Milazzo Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 11/10 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora Italy Serie D |
– | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 04/10 | Enna Calcio Italy Serie D |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/09 | Siracusa Italy Serie D |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 20/09 | ASD CastrumFavara Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/09 | Sambiase Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | Reggina Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 06/09 | ASD Ragusa Italy Serie D |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vibonese vs Modica?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Vibonese win (60%). Probabilities: Vibonese 60%, draw 24%, Modica 16%.
How many goals are expected in Vibonese vs Modica?
The model expects 2.8 goals (Vibonese 1.9 · Modica 0.89), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Vibonese vs Modica?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.