Football · Italy Serie D · 18/10, 15:00

Prediction: Nissa FC vs Reggina

Team pages: Nissa FC · Reggina

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.74Total

Nissa FC0.99

Reggina1.75

1X2

20% 26% 54%

Nissa FC Draw Reggina

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Nissa FC 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DWDWDWLLDD

Reggina 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWDWWWWWLD

Head-to-head

Nissa FC 0–2–3 Reggina (5 last)

Nissa FC0-0Reggina
Nissa FC1-2Reggina
Reggina1-0Nissa FC
Reggina3-1Nissa FC
Nissa FC1-1Reggina

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nissa FC 1495 · Reggina 1575

	Nissa FC	Draw	Reggina
Our model	20%	26%	54%
Market	20%	26%	54%

Estimated total (ours) 2.74 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Reggina (rating 1495 vs 1575).
H2H favours Reggina: 3-2-0.
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Nissa FC	Reggina
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.2	2.2 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.3	1.3 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	44/44/11%	71/29/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.4	2.7 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.3	4.3 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

14.50

X3.40

21.67

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.90

2 (-0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.95

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
16:20 +32’	4.50	3.40	1.67

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Nissa FC 0–2–3 Reggina

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Italy Serie D	Nissa FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Reggina
11/01/26 Italy Serie D	Nissa FC	1-2 HT 0-0	Reggina
14/09/25 Italy Serie D	Reggina	1-0 HT 1-0	Nissa FC
13/04/25 Italy Serie D	Reggina	3-1 HT 1-0	Nissa FC
01/12/24 Italy Serie D	Nissa FC	1-1 HT 1-0	Reggina

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Reggina	7	5	1	1	16	2	16
2	Sambiase	7	5	1	1	11	5	16
3	Calcio Avola 1949	7	5	0	2	11	10	15
4	Vibonese	7	4	2	1	16	6	14
5	ASD Licata	7	4	2	1	10	9	14
6	ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora	7	3	3	1	13	5	12
7	Igea Virtus	7	3	2	2	16	14	11
8	Milazzo	7	3	1	3	6	9	10
9	Nissa FC	7	2	3	2	10	10	9
10	SSD Athletic Club Palermo	7	2	2	3	10	10	8
11	Siracusa	7	4	2	1	11	5	7
12	Modica	7	2	1	4	7	10	7
13	ASD CastrumFavara	7	2	1	4	8	9	7
14	Città di Gela	7	1	3	3	5	7	5
15	Vigor Lamezia	7	1	2	4	7	16	5
16	ASD Ragusa	7	0	3	4	5	10	3
17	Trapani	7	2	0	5	3	11	1
18	Enna Calcio	7	0	1	6	0	17	1

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nissa FC	Reggina
Igea Virtus	1-1 D	2-0 W
Vibonese	0-2 L	1-1 D
Calcio Avola 1949	2-4 L	4-0 W
Trapani	2-0 W	0-1 L
ASD Licata	1-1 D	5-0 W
Vigor Lamezia	3-1 W	3-0 W
Sambiase	1-1 D	4-2 W
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 2 L	5 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Reggina (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nissa FC

DWDWDWLLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	ASD Ragusa Italy Serie D	1-1	1-1	6	6	D
04/10	Igea Virtus Italy Serie D	1-0	1-1	4	6	D
27/09	Vibonese Italy Serie D	0-1	0-2	8	5	L
20/09	Calcio Avola 1949 Italy Serie D	2-1	2-4	6	5	L
16/09	Trapani Italy Serie D	1-0	2-0	6	7	W
13/09	ASD Licata Italy Serie D	0-0	1-1	12	3	D
06/09	Vigor Lamezia Italy Serie D	1-0	3-1	3	3	W
17/05	Reggina Italy Serie D	0-0	0-0	3	7	D
03/05	ASD Paterno Italy Serie D	–	4-1	–	–	W
26/04	Sambiase Italy Serie D	0-0	1-1	1	5	D

Reggina

WWDWWWWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Vibonese Italy Serie D	1-0	1-1	7	5	D
04/10	Trapani Italy Serie D	–	0-1	–	–	L
27/09	Igea Virtus Italy Serie D	0-0	2-0	6	6	W
20/09	Vigor Lamezia Italy Serie D	3-0	3-0	6	3	W
16/09	Calcio Avola 1949 Italy Serie D	2-0	4-0	5	3	W
13/09	Modica Italy Serie D	1-0	1-0	6	8	W
06/09	ASD Licata Italy Serie D	–	5-0	–	–	W
17/05	Nissa FC Italy Serie D	0-0	0-0	2	7	D
03/05	Sambiase Italy Serie D	2-0	4-2	4	1	W
26/04	Milazzo Italy Serie D	–	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nissa FC vs Reggina?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Reggina win (54%). Probabilities: Nissa FC 20%, draw 26%, Reggina 54%.

How many goals are expected in Nissa FC vs Reggina?

The model expects 2.74 goals (Nissa FC 0.99 · Reggina 1.75), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Nissa FC vs Reggina?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.