Football · Italy Serie D · 15/11, 14:30

Prediction: Reggina vs Sambiase

Team pages: Reggina · Sambiase

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.68Total

Reggina1.65

Sambiase1.03

1X2

51% 27% 22%

Reggina Draw Sambiase

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Reggina 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWLDWDWW

Sambiase 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

DWWWLWDWWW

Head-to-head

Reggina 4–1–0 Sambiase (5 last)

Reggina4-2Sambiase
Sambiase0-1Reggina
Sambiase0-1Reggina
Sambiase0-1Reggina
Reggina1-1Sambiase

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Reggina: 4-1-0.
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Reggina	Sambiase
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 0.7	1.7 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.3	0.9 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	71/29/0%	57/29/14%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 5.9	2.1 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.3	4.3 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.94

Under 2.51.77

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:06

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.63 → 1.63	Pinn 1.63
X	3.55 → 3.55	Pinn 3.55
2	4.45 → 4.45	Pinn 4.45

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
03:54 +12’	1.63	3.55	4.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Reggina 4–1–0 Sambiase

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Italy Serie D	Reggina	4-2 HT 2-0	Sambiase
21/12/25 Italy Serie D	Sambiase	0-1 HT 0-1	Reggina
08/10/25 Italy Serie D Cup	Sambiase	0-1 HT 0-1	Reggina
23/03/25 Italy Serie D	Sambiase	0-1 HT 0-0	Reggina
10/11/24 Italy Serie D	Reggina	1-1 HT 1-1	Sambiase

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Reggina	11	8	2	1	28	7	26
2	Sambiase	11	8	2	1	19	8	26
3	Vibonese	11	7	3	1	24	10	24
4	Calcio Avola 1949	11	6	1	4	17	16	19
5	Milazzo	11	6	1	4	14	13	19
6	ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora	11	5	3	3	16	10	18
7	Igea Virtus	11	5	3	3	25	22	18
8	Città di Gela	11	4	4	3	13	9	15
9	Siracusa	11	6	3	2	18	10	14
10	ASD Licata	11	4	2	5	11	22	14
11	SSD Athletic Club Palermo	10	4	2	4	13	12	14
12	Nissa FC	11	3	3	5	16	15	12
13	Modica	10	3	1	6	12	13	10
14	Trapani	11	4	2	5	9	14	9
15	Vigor Lamezia	11	2	2	7	11	21	8
16	ASD CastrumFavara	11	2	2	7	12	19	8
17	ASD Ragusa	11	0	3	8	9	23	3
18	Enna Calcio	11	0	3	8	4	27	3

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Reggina	Sambiase
ASD Ragusa	5-2 W	2-0 W
Nissa FC	2-1 W	1-0 W
Trapani	0-1 L	1-0 W
Igea Virtus	2-0 W	4-2 W
Vigor Lamezia	3-0 W	4-1 W
Calcio Avola 1949	4-0 W	1-1 D
Modica	1-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 1 L	6 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Reggina (2 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Reggina

WWWWLDWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Enna Calcio Italy Serie D	–	3-0	–	–	W
01/11	ASD Ragusa Italy Serie D	–	5-2	–	–	W
28/10	ASD CastrumFavara Italy Serie D	1-1	2-2	7	5	D
18/10	Nissa FC Italy Serie D	2-1	2-1	4	6	W
11/10	Vibonese Italy Serie D	1-0	1-1	7	5	D
04/10	Trapani Italy Serie D	–	0-1	–	–	L
27/09	Igea Virtus Italy Serie D	0-0	2-0	6	6	W
20/09	Vigor Lamezia Italy Serie D	3-0	3-0	6	3	W
16/09	Calcio Avola 1949 Italy Serie D	2-0	4-0	5	3	W
13/09	Modica Italy Serie D	1-0	1-0	6	8	W

Sambiase

DWWWLWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	ASD Ragusa Italy Serie D	2-0	2-0	8	2	W
01/11	Igea Virtus Italy Serie D	–	4-2	–	–	W
25/10	Nissa FC Italy Serie D	1-0	1-0	5	6	W
18/10	Calcio Avola 1949 Italy Serie D	–	1-1	–	–	D
11/10	Trapani Italy Serie D	0-0	1-0	1	5	W
04/10	ASD Licata Italy Serie D	0-1	1-2	3	7	L
27/09	Vigor Lamezia Italy Serie D	2-0	4-1	5	4	W
20/09	Milazzo Italy Serie D	0-0	1-0	4	7	W
16/09	Modica Italy Serie D	1-0	1-0	9	2	W
12/09	ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora Italy Serie D	–	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Reggina vs Sambiase?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Reggina win (51%). Probabilities: Reggina 51%, draw 27%, Sambiase 22%.

How many goals are expected in Reggina vs Sambiase?

The model expects 2.68 goals (Reggina 1.65 · Sambiase 1.03), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Reggina vs Sambiase?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.