Football · Italy Serie D · 01/11, 14:30
Prediction: Luparense FC vs Calvi Noale
Team pages: Luparense FC · Calvi Noale
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.39Total
Luparense FC1.78
Calvi Noale0.61
1X2
Luparense FC
Draw
Calvi Noale
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Luparense FC
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Calvi Noale
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Luparense FC
3–2–0
Calvi Noale
(5 last)
- Calvi Noale0-1Luparense FC
- Luparense FC2-1Calvi Noale
- Calvi Noale1-2Luparense FC
- Luparense FC1-1Calvi Noale
- Calvi Noale0-0Luparense FC
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luparense FC (rating 1567 vs 1447).
- H2H favours Luparense FC: 3-2-0.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Luparense FC | Calvi Noale | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.8 | 0.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 25/25/50% | 25/25/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 6.5 | 1.8 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.3 | 4.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Luparense FC 3–2–0 Calvi Noale
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/26 Italy Serie D | Calvi Noale | 0-1 | Luparense FC |
| 24/09/25 Italy Serie D | Luparense FC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Calvi Noale |
| 29/01/25 Italy Serie D | Calvi Noale | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Luparense FC |
| 02/10/24 Italy Serie D | Luparense FC | 1-1 | Calvi Noale |
| 25/08/24 Italy Serie D Cup | Calvi Noale | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Luparense FC |
Standings · Italy Serie D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 5 | 20 |
| 2 | Sambiase | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Vibonese | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | ASD Licata | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 14 | 17 |
| 5 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 16 |
| 6 | Milazzo | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 16 |
| 7 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 15 |
| 8 | Igea Virtus | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 15 |
| 9 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 11 |
| 10 | Città di Gela | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 9 |
| 11 | Nissa FC | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 9 |
| 12 | Siracusa | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 8 |
| 13 | Vigor Lamezia | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 8 |
| 14 | ASD CastrumFavara | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 8 |
| 15 | Modica | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 7 |
| 16 | Trapani | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 5 |
| 17 | ASD Ragusa | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 3 |
| 18 | Enna Calcio | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 22 | 2 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Luparense FC | Calvi Noale |
|---|---|---|
| Sandona 1922 | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Este | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| ASD Brian Lignano | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Clodiense | 3-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Calcio Schio | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Virtus Bolzano | 4-0 W | 3-1 W |
| AC Mestre | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Legnago Salus | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 3 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Luparense FC (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luparense FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Unione La Rocca Altavilla Italy Serie D |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 18/10 | Sandona 1922 Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 11/10 | Este Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/10 | ASD Brian Lignano Italy Serie D |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 27/09 | Clodiense Italy Serie D |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 20/09 | Calcio Schio Italy Serie D |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 16/09 | Virtus Bolzano Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 4-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 12/09 | AC Mestre Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 06/09 | Legnago Salus Italy Serie D |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | Este Italy Serie D |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
Calvi Noale
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Este Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 17/10 | Clodiense Italy Serie D |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 11/10 | Sandona 1922 Italy Serie D |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 04/10 | Virtus Bolzano Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 27/09 | ASD Brian Lignano Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 20/09 | Legnago Salus Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/09 | Calcio Schio Italy Serie D |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 13/09 | Triestina Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 06/09 | AC Mestre Italy Serie D |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 03/05 | Bassano Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luparense FC vs Calvi Noale?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Luparense FC win (65%). Probabilities: Luparense FC 65%, draw 24%, Calvi Noale 11%.
How many goals are expected in Luparense FC vs Calvi Noale?
The model expects 2.39 goals (Luparense FC 1.78 · Calvi Noale 0.61), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Luparense FC vs Calvi Noale?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.