Football · Italy Serie D · 27/09, 15:00

Prediction: Calvi Noale vs ASD Brian Lignano

Team pages: Calvi Noale

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.59Total
Calvi Noale1.45
ASD Brian Lignano1.15
1X2
43% 28% 29%
Calvi Noale Draw ASD Brian Lignano
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Calvi Noale 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
LWWWWWLDDW
ASD Brian Lignano 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
LWWWDWLLLL
Head-to-head
Calvi Noale 1–1–2 ASD Brian Lignano (4 last)
  • ASD Brian Lignano2-0Calvi Noale
  • Calvi Noale1-4ASD Brian Lignano
  • Calvi Noale4-1ASD Brian Lignano
  • ASD Brian Lignano0-0Calvi Noale
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Calvi Noale 1520 · ASD Brian Lignano 1503
Calvi NoaleDrawASD Brian Lignano
Our model43%29%29%
Market43%28%29%
Estimated total (ours) 2.59 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours ASD Brian Lignano: 2-1-1.
  • High corners: 14.3 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Calvi NoaleASD Brian Lignano
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 0.62 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0 / 0.50.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/75/25%50/0/50%
Corners (HT / FT)4 / 7.82 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 04.5 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Calvi Noale 1–1–2 ASD Brian Lignano

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DateHomeScoreAway
04/01/26
Italy Serie D
ASD Brian Lignano2-0Calvi Noale
07/09/25
Italy Serie D
Calvi Noale1-4
HT 1-3
ASD Brian Lignano
05/01/25
Italy Serie D
Calvi Noale4-1
HT 2-1
ASD Brian Lignano
08/09/24
Italy Serie D
ASD Brian Lignano0-0Calvi Noale

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 4400 13012
2 Igea Virtus 4310 13810
3 Sambiase 4310 5210
4 Vibonese 4211 1157
5 Nissa FC 4211 867
6 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 4130 726
7 Milazzo 4202 456
8 Calcio Avola 1949 4202 7106
9 ASD Licata 4121 375
10 Modica 4112 344
11 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 4112 684
12 ASD CastrumFavara 4112 544
13 Città di Gela 4112 453
14 ASD Ragusa 4022 472
15 Vigor Lamezia 4022 492
16 Siracusa 4220 741
17 Enna Calcio 4013 091
18 Trapani 4004 110-5

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCalvi NoaleASD Brian Lignano
Bassano 1-0 W 1-1 D
Este 2-0 W 0-2 L
AC Vigasio 3-1 W 3-1 W
FCD Conegliano 0-1 L 0-1 L
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 1 L 1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Calvi Noale (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Calvi Noale

LWWWWWLDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 Legnago Salus
Italy Serie D
– 1-0 –– W
16/09 Calcio Schio
Italy Serie D
– 0-0 –– D
13/09 Triestina
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
06/09 AC Mestre
Italy Serie D
0-2 0-2 55 L
03/05 Bassano
Italy Serie D
– 1-0 –– W
26/04 Campodarsego
Italy Serie D
– 1-0 –– W
19/04 Portogruaro
Italy Serie D
0-0 3-1 123 W
03/04 Este
Italy Serie D
0-0 2-0 83 W
29/03 AC Vigasio
Italy Serie D
– 3-1 –– W
22/03 FCD Conegliano
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-1 62 L

ASD Brian Lignano

LWWWDWLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 Clodiense
Italy Serie D
– 3-5 –– L
16/09 Sandona 1922
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-2 86 L
13/09 Virtus Bolzano
Italy Serie D
0-2 1-2 104 L
06/09 Este
Italy Serie D
– 0-2 –– L
03/05 US Adriese
Italy Serie D
– 4-0 –– W
26/04 Bassano
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
19/04 AC Vigasio
Italy Serie D
– 3-1 –– W
29/03 Este
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-0 24 W
21/03 ASD San Luigi Calcio
Italy Serie D
– 6-0 –– W
15/03 FCD Conegliano
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-1 64 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Calvi Noale vs ASD Brian Lignano?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Calvi Noale win (43%). Probabilities: Calvi Noale 43%, draw 28%, ASD Brian Lignano 29%.

How many goals are expected in Calvi Noale vs ASD Brian Lignano?

The model expects 2.59 goals (Calvi Noale 1.45 · ASD Brian Lignano 1.15), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Calvi Noale vs ASD Brian Lignano?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.