Football · Italy Serie D · 08/11, 14:30
Prediction: FC Francavilla vs Virtus Francavilla
Team pages: FC Francavilla · Virtus Francavilla
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.33Total
FC Francavilla0.9
Virtus Francavilla1.43
1X2
FC Francavilla
Draw
Virtus Francavilla
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Francavilla
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Virtus Francavilla
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Francavilla
1–1–4
Virtus Francavilla
(6 last)
- Virtus Francavilla0-3FC Francavilla
- FC Francavilla1-2Virtus Francavilla
- Virtus Francavilla2-2FC Francavilla
- FC Francavilla0-1Virtus Francavilla
- FC Francavilla0-1Virtus Francavilla
- Virtus Francavilla1-0FC Francavilla
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Virtus Francavilla (rating 1455 vs 1590).
- H2H favours Virtus Francavilla: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Francavilla | Virtus Francavilla | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.2 | 1.9 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 0.7 | 1.6 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/33/67% | 100/0/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.3 / 2.3 | 3.2 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0 | 4.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Francavilla 1–1–4 Virtus Francavilla
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 Italy Serie D | Virtus Francavilla | 0-3 HT 0-1 | FC Francavilla |
| 07/12/25 Italy Serie D | FC Francavilla | 1-2 | Virtus Francavilla |
| 12/01/25 Italy Serie D | Virtus Francavilla | 2-2 | FC Francavilla |
| 15/09/24 Italy Serie D | FC Francavilla | 0-1 | Virtus Francavilla |
| 28/02/16 Italy Serie D | FC Francavilla | 0-1 | Virtus Francavilla |
| 25/10/15 Italy Serie D | Virtus Francavilla | 1-0 | FC Francavilla |
Standings · Italy Serie D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 7 | 23 |
| 2 | Sambiase | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | Vibonese | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 21 |
| 4 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 19 |
| 5 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 18 |
| 6 | Milazzo | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 16 |
| 7 | Igea Virtus | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 21 | 15 |
| 8 | ASD Licata | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 14 |
| 9 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 14 |
| 10 | Città di Gela | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 12 |
| 11 | Nissa FC | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 12 |
| 12 | Siracusa | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 11 |
| 13 | Vigor Lamezia | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 8 |
| 14 | ASD CastrumFavara | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 8 |
| 15 | Modica | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 7 |
| 16 | Trapani | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 6 |
| 17 | ASD Ragusa | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 21 | 3 |
| 18 | Enna Calcio | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 3 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Francavilla | Virtus Francavilla |
|---|---|---|
| Fidelis Andria | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Real Forio 2014 | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| FBC Gravina | 1-1 D | 2-4 L |
| Gladiator | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Martina | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Brindisi FC | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Melfi | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| US Palmese 1914 | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 5 L | 6 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Virtus Francavilla (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Francavilla
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Fidelis Andria Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 25/10 | Real Forio 2014 Italy Serie D |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/10 | FBC Gravina Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 11/10 | Gladiator Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 04/10 | Martina Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 27/09 | Brindisi FC Italy Serie D |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 20/09 | Melfi Italy Serie D |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 16/09 | US Palmese 1914 Italy Serie D |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 13/09 | Bisceglie 1913 Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 06/09 | Ischia Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Virtus Francavilla
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | SS Turris Calcio Italy Serie D |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/10 | Manfredonia Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 18/10 | Fidelis Andria Italy Serie D |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/10 | Real Forio 2014 Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 04/10 | FBC Gravina Italy Serie D |
– | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 27/09 | Gladiator Italy Serie D |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 20/09 | Martina Italy Serie D |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 16/09 | Brindisi FC Italy Serie D |
2-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 13/09 | Melfi Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 06/09 | US Palmese 1914 Italy Serie D |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Francavilla vs Virtus Francavilla?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Virtus Francavilla win (48%). Probabilities: FC Francavilla 22%, draw 29%, Virtus Francavilla 48%.
How many goals are expected in FC Francavilla vs Virtus Francavilla?
The model expects 2.33 goals (FC Francavilla 0.9 · Virtus Francavilla 1.43), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Francavilla vs Virtus Francavilla?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.