Football · Italy Serie D · 15/11, 15:30

Prediction: Fidelis Andria vs Nocerina

Team pages: Fidelis Andria · Nocerina

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.46Total
Fidelis Andria1.63
Nocerina0.83
1X2
55% 27% 18%
Fidelis Andria Draw Nocerina
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Fidelis Andria 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
LDLLWWWWWD
Nocerina 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
DWLWWLLLLL
Head-to-head
Fidelis Andria 1–2 Nocerina (3 last)
  • Fidelis Andria0-2Nocerina
  • Nocerina3-1Fidelis Andria
  • Nocerina1-5Fidelis Andria
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fidelis Andria (rating 1520 vs 1455).
  • H2H favours Nocerina: 2-0-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Fidelis AndriaNocerina
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 11.3 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.60.2 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)29/29/43%0/20/80%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 3.31.8 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.1 / 0.13.2 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Fidelis Andria 1–0–2 Nocerina

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DateHomeScoreAway
02/02/25
Italy Serie D
Fidelis Andria0-2
HT 0-2
Nocerina
06/10/24
Italy Serie D
Nocerina3-1
HT 1-1
Fidelis Andria
24/11/19
Italy Serie D
Nocerina1-5Fidelis Andria

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 11821 28726
2 Sambiase 11821 19826
3 Vibonese 11731 241024
4 Calcio Avola 1949 11614 171619
5 Milazzo 11614 141319
6 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 11533 161018
7 Igea Virtus 11533 252218
8 Città di Gela 11443 13915
9 Siracusa 11632 181014
10 ASD Licata 11425 112214
11 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 10424 131214
12 Nissa FC 11335 161512
13 Modica 10316 121310
14 Trapani 11425 9149
15 Vigor Lamezia 11227 11218
16 ASD CastrumFavara 11227 12198
17 ASD Ragusa 11038 9233
18 Enna Calcio 11038 4273

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFidelis AndriaNocerina
Real Forio 2014 2-1 W 1-2 L
Gladiator 2-3 L 1-2 L
Manfredonia 1-1 D 2-2 D
Brindisi FC 0-1 L 0-1 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 2 L 0 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Fidelis Andria (1 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fidelis Andria

LDLLWWWWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/11 Ebolitana
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 61 D
01/11 FC Francavilla
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-0 06 W
25/10 AC Nardo
Italy Serie D
2-1 3-1 44 W
18/10 Virtus Francavilla
Italy Serie D
– 2-1 –– W
11/10 Real Aversa 1925
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-0 46 W
04/10 Real Forio 2014
Italy Serie D
– 2-1 –– W
27/09 SS Turris Calcio
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-2 21 L
20/09 Gladiator
Italy Serie D
– 2-3 –– L
16/09 Manfredonia
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-1 53 D
12/09 Brindisi FC
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-1 22 L

Nocerina

DWLWWLLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/11 Real Forio 2014
Italy Serie D
– 1-2 –– L
01/11 FBC Gravina
Italy Serie D
– 1-2 –– L
25/10 Gladiator
Italy Serie D
0-2 1-2 53 L
18/10 Martina
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-2 95 L
11/10 Brindisi FC
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-1 43 L
04/10 Melfi
Italy Serie D
– 1-0 –– W
27/09 US Palmese 1914
Italy Serie D
– 3-0 –– W
20/09 Bisceglie 1913
Italy Serie D
0-2 1-3 43 L
16/09 Ischia
Italy Serie D
1-2 3-2 54 W
12/09 Manfredonia
Italy Serie D
– 2-2 –– D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fidelis Andria vs Nocerina?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Fidelis Andria win (55%). Probabilities: Fidelis Andria 55%, draw 27%, Nocerina 18%.

How many goals are expected in Fidelis Andria vs Nocerina?

The model expects 2.46 goals (Fidelis Andria 1.63 · Nocerina 0.83), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Fidelis Andria vs Nocerina?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.