Football · Italy Serie D · 01/11, 14:30
Prediction: FBC Gravina vs Nocerina
Team pages: Nocerina
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.82Total
FBC Gravina1.75
Nocerina1.07
1X2
FBC Gravina
Draw
Nocerina
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
FBC Gravina
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Nocerina
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FBC Gravina
0–2–4
Nocerina
(6 last)
- FBC Gravina1-1Nocerina
- Nocerina2-1FBC Gravina
- Nocerina2-1FBC Gravina
- FBC Gravina1-1Nocerina
- FBC Gravina0-2Nocerina
- Nocerina2-1FBC Gravina
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FBC Gravina (rating 1528 vs 1481).
- H2H favours Nocerina: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FBC Gravina | Nocerina | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.3 | 1.3 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.2 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/67/0% | 0/33/67% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 6 | 2 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.3 | 3.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FBC Gravina 0–2–4 Nocerina
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/02/25 Italy Serie D | FBC Gravina | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Nocerina |
| 20/10/24 Italy Serie D | Nocerina | 2-1 HT 1-0 | FBC Gravina |
| 08/01/23 Italy Serie D | Nocerina | 2-1 HT 1-1 | FBC Gravina |
| 04/09/22 Italy Serie D | FBC Gravina | 1-1 | Nocerina |
| 16/02/22 Italy Serie D | FBC Gravina | 0-2 | Nocerina |
| 10/10/21 Italy Serie D | Nocerina | 2-1 HT 1-1 | FBC Gravina |
Standings · Italy Serie D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 5 | 20 |
| 2 | Sambiase | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Vibonese | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | ASD Licata | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 14 | 17 |
| 5 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 16 |
| 6 | Milazzo | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 16 |
| 7 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 15 |
| 8 | Igea Virtus | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 15 |
| 9 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 11 |
| 10 | Città di Gela | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 9 |
| 11 | Nissa FC | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 9 |
| 12 | Siracusa | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 8 |
| 13 | Vigor Lamezia | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 8 |
| 14 | ASD CastrumFavara | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 8 |
| 15 | Modica | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 7 |
| 16 | Trapani | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 5 |
| 17 | ASD Ragusa | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 3 |
| 18 | Enna Calcio | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 22 | 2 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FBC Gravina | Nocerina |
|---|---|---|
| Ebolitana | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Gladiator | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FBC Gravina
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Ebolitana Italy Serie D |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 18/10 | FC Francavilla Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 11/10 | AC Nardo Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 04/10 | Virtus Francavilla Italy Serie D |
– | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 27/09 | Real Aversa 1925 Italy Serie D |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 20/09 | Real Forio 2014 Italy Serie D |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 16/09 | SS Turris Calcio Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 12/09 | Gladiator Italy Serie D |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 06/09 | Fidelis Andria Italy Serie D |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | Real Aversa 1925 Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 3-2 | 13 | 5 | W |
Nocerina
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Gladiator Italy Serie D |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 18/10 | Martina Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 11/10 | Brindisi FC Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 04/10 | Melfi Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/09 | US Palmese 1914 Italy Serie D |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 20/09 | Bisceglie 1913 Italy Serie D |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 16/09 | Ischia Italy Serie D |
1-2 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 12/09 | Manfredonia Italy Serie D |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 06/09 | Ebolitana Italy Serie D |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | Ischia Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FBC Gravina vs Nocerina?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FBC Gravina win (52%). Probabilities: FBC Gravina 52%, draw 26%, Nocerina 22%.
How many goals are expected in FBC Gravina vs Nocerina?
The model expects 2.82 goals (FBC Gravina 1.75 · Nocerina 1.07), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FBC Gravina vs Nocerina?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.