Football · Italy Serie D · 20/09, 15:00

Prediction: US Palmese 1914 vs Real Aversa 1925

Team pages: US Palmese 1914 · Real Aversa 1925

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.2Total
US Palmese 19141.21
Real Aversa 19250.99
1X2
40% 30% 29%
US Palmese 1914 Draw Real Aversa 1925
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
US Palmese 1914 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
WWWLWLLLDW
Real Aversa 1925 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WWLLDWLWDL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · US Palmese 1914 1500 · Real Aversa 1925 1515
US Palmese 1914DrawReal Aversa 1925
Our model40%32%29%
Market41%29%30%
Estimated total (ours) 2.2 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

US Palmese 1914Real Aversa 1925
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.21.3 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0 / 0.60.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/60/40%29/43/29%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 32.4 / 2.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 0.43.4 / 0.3

Standings · Italy Serie D

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 3300 1009
2 Nissa FC 3210 627
3 Igea Virtus 3210 1077
4 Sambiase 3210 427
5 Milazzo 3201 446
6 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 3120 725
7 Vibonese 3111 854
8 ASD CastrumFavara 3111 534
9 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 3111 654
10 Calcio Avola 1949 3102 383
11 ASD Ragusa 3021 462
11 Vigor Lamezia 3021 462
13 Città di Gela 3102 452
14 ASD Licata 3021 272
15 Modica 3012 241
16 Siracusa 3210 740
17 Enna Calcio 3003 090
18 Trapani 3003 07-5

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

US Palmese 1914

WWWLWLLLDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/09 FC Francavilla
Italy Serie D
1-0 W
13/09 SS Turris Calcio
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 54 D
06/09 Virtus Francavilla
Italy Serie D
0-2 1-3 72 L
02/05 Monastir Kosmoto
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-2 13 L
26/04 Scafatese
Italy Serie D
0-1 L
19/04 Ischia
Italy Serie D
1-0 W
12/04 USD Latte Dolce
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-4 06 L
29/03 Valmontone 1921
Italy Serie D
0-1 2-1 22 W
22/03 Atletico Lodigiani
Italy Serie D
1-0 W
15/03 Real Monterotondo
Italy Serie D
5-1 W

Real Aversa 1925

WWLLDWLWDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/09 Martina
Italy Serie D
1-1 1-2 26 L
12/09 Ischia
Italy Serie D
2-2 D
06/09 Melfi
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-0 22 W
03/05 FBC Gravina
Italy Serie D
0-1 2-3 15 L
26/04 Citta di Fasano
Italy Serie D
0-0 2-0 12 W
19/04 Afragolese 1944
Italy Serie D
0-0 D
12/04 Martina
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-2 35 L
29/03 Barletta
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-1 22 L
22/03 ASD Ferrandina 17890
Italy Serie D
2-0 3-1 54 W
15/03 FC Pompei
Italy Serie D
1-0 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in US Palmese 1914 vs Real Aversa 1925?

According to our model, the most likely result is a US Palmese 1914 win (40%). Probabilities: US Palmese 1914 40%, draw 30%, Real Aversa 1925 29%.

How many goals are expected in US Palmese 1914 vs Real Aversa 1925?

The model expects 2.2 goals (US Palmese 1914 1.21 · Real Aversa 1925 0.99), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in US Palmese 1914 vs Real Aversa 1925?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.