Football · Italy Serie D · 15/11, 15:00
Prediction: Manfredonia vs US Palmese 1914
Team pages: Manfredonia · US Palmese 1914
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.94Total
Manfredonia1.8
US Palmese 19141.14
1X2
Manfredonia
Draw
US Palmese 1914
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Manfredonia
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
US Palmese 1914
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Manfredonia
2–2–0
US Palmese 1914
(4 last)
- US Palmese 19141-1Manfredonia
- Manfredonia3-0US Palmese 1914
- US Palmese 19142-2Manfredonia
- Manfredonia2-1US Palmese 1914
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Manfredonia (rating 1535 vs 1490).
- H2H favours Manfredonia: 2-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Manfredonia | US Palmese 1914 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.9 | 1.7 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/0/67% | 0/67/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4 | 2 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0 | 4.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Manfredonia 2–2–0 US Palmese 1914
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/25 Italy Serie D | US Palmese 1914 | 1-1 | Manfredonia |
| 08/12/24 Italy Serie D | Manfredonia | 3-0 | US Palmese 1914 |
| 07/04/24 Italy Serie D | US Palmese 1914 | 2-2 HT 2-2 | Manfredonia |
| 26/11/23 Italy Serie D | Manfredonia | 2-1 | US Palmese 1914 |
Standings · Italy Serie D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 26 |
| 2 | Sambiase | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 26 |
| 3 | Vibonese | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 24 |
| 4 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 19 |
| 5 | Milazzo | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 19 |
| 6 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 18 |
| 7 | Igea Virtus | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 25 | 22 | 18 |
| 8 | Città di Gela | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 15 |
| 9 | Siracusa | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 14 |
| 10 | ASD Licata | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 22 | 14 |
| 11 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 14 |
| 12 | Nissa FC | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 12 |
| 13 | Modica | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 10 |
| 14 | Trapani | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 9 |
| 15 | Vigor Lamezia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 8 |
| 16 | ASD CastrumFavara | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 8 |
| 17 | ASD Ragusa | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 23 | 3 |
| 18 | Enna Calcio | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 3 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Manfredonia | US Palmese 1914 |
|---|---|---|
| Real Aversa 1925 | 0-0 D | 3-4 L |
| Melfi | 3-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Ischia | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| SS Turris Calcio | 0-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Bisceglie 1913 | 1-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Ebolitana | 3-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Nocerina | 2-2 D | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Manfredonia (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Manfredonia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Real Aversa 1925 Italy Serie D |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 01/11 | Melfi Italy Serie D |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/10 | Virtus Francavilla Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 18/10 | Ischia Italy Serie D |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/10 | SS Turris Calcio Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 04/10 | Bisceglie 1913 Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/09 | Real Forio 2014 Italy Serie D |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 20/09 | Ebolitana Italy Serie D |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/09 | Fidelis Andria Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 12/09 | Nocerina Italy Serie D |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
US Palmese 1914
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Martina Italy Serie D |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/11 | Ischia Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 24/10 | Melfi Italy Serie D |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 18/10 | Ebolitana Italy Serie D |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/10 | Bisceglie 1913 Italy Serie D |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 04/10 | AC Nardo Italy Serie D |
– | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 27/09 | Nocerina Italy Serie D |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 20/09 | Real Aversa 1925 Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 16/09 | FC Francavilla Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/09 | SS Turris Calcio Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Manfredonia vs US Palmese 1914?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Manfredonia win (52%). Probabilities: Manfredonia 52%, draw 25%, US Palmese 1914 23%.
How many goals are expected in Manfredonia vs US Palmese 1914?
The model expects 2.94 goals (Manfredonia 1.8 · US Palmese 1914 1.14), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Manfredonia vs US Palmese 1914?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.