Football · Italy Serie D · 15/11, 14:30

Prediction: ASD Grassina vs ASD Seravezza Calcio

Team pages: ASD Seravezza Calcio

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.54Total
ASD Grassina1.07
ASD Seravezza Calcio1.47
1X2
27% 28% 45%
ASD Grassina Draw ASD Seravezza Calcio
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
ASD Grassina 1-4-5 (W-D-L)
LDLDLDWLDL
ASD Seravezza Calcio 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WDWWLWDDLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ASD Grassina 1448 · ASD Seravezza Calcio 1511
ASD GrassinaDrawASD Seravezza Calcio
Our model26%29%45%
Market27%27%46%
Estimated total (ours) 2.54 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ASD Seravezza Calcio (rating 1448 vs 1511).
  • Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

ASD GrassinaASD Seravezza Calcio
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 1.81.6 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.60.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)43/29/29%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 51.2 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.3 / 0.14.1 / 0.2

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 11821 28726
2 Sambiase 11821 19826
3 Vibonese 11731 241024
4 Calcio Avola 1949 11614 171619
5 Milazzo 11614 141319
6 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 11533 161018
7 Igea Virtus 11533 252218
8 Città di Gela 11443 13915
9 Siracusa 11632 181014
10 ASD Licata 11425 112214
11 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 10424 131214
12 Nissa FC 11335 161512
13 Modica 10316 121310
14 Trapani 11425 9149
15 Vigor Lamezia 11227 11218
16 ASD CastrumFavara 11227 12198
17 ASD Ragusa 11038 9233
18 Enna Calcio 11038 4273

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentASD GrassinaASD Seravezza Calcio
Robur Siena 0-4 L 1-2 L
ASD Rondinella Marzocco 1-1 D 0-0 D
Aquila 1902 Montevarchi 0-1 L 1-1 D
SCD Progresso Calcio 1-0 W 3-0 W
Lucchese 3-6 L 5-0 W
Prato 1-1 D 1-3 L
Virtus Flaminia 0-1 L 1-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 4 L 3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: ASD Seravezza Calcio (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ASD Grassina

LDLDLDWLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/11 Robur Siena
Italy Serie D
– 0-4 –– L
01/11 ASD Rondinella Marzocco
Italy Serie D
1-1 1-1 35 D
25/10 Aquila 1902 Montevarchi
Italy Serie D
– 0-1 –– L
18/10 SCD Progresso Calcio
Italy Serie D
– 1-0 –– W
11/10 ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-1 36 D
04/10 Lucchese
Italy Serie D
2-1 3-6 97 L
27/09 Mezzolara
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 53 D
20/09 Scandicci
Italy Serie D
2-0 2-3 75 L
16/09 Prato
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-1 43 D
13/09 Virtus Flaminia
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-1 42 L

ASD Seravezza Calcio

WDWWLWDDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/11 Prato
Italy Serie D
0-2 1-3 66 L
01/11 Ternana
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-3 31 L
25/10 Gavorrano
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-1 128 D
18/10 ASD Rondinella Marzocco
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 35 D
11/10 Virtus Flaminia
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-0 23 W
04/10 Robur Siena
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-2 25 L
27/09 ASD Terranuova Traiana
Italy Serie D
3-0 3-0 55 W
20/09 SCD Progresso Calcio
Italy Serie D
1-0 3-0 33 W
16/09 Aquila 1902 Montevarchi
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-1 62 D
12/09 Lucchese
Italy Serie D
5-0 5-0 25 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ASD Grassina vs ASD Seravezza Calcio?

According to our model, the most likely result is an ASD Seravezza Calcio win (45%). Probabilities: ASD Grassina 27%, draw 28%, ASD Seravezza Calcio 45%.

How many goals are expected in ASD Grassina vs ASD Seravezza Calcio?

The model expects 2.54 goals (ASD Grassina 1.07 · ASD Seravezza Calcio 1.47), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in ASD Grassina vs ASD Seravezza Calcio?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.