Football · Spain Tercera Group 1 · 15/11, 16:30

Prediction: Pontevedra B vs Atletico Arteixo

Team pages: Atletico Arteixo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.88Total

Pontevedra B1.63

Atletico Arteixo1.24

1X2

45% 27% 28%

Pontevedra B Draw Atletico Arteixo

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Pontevedra B 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLDWLLLWWL

Atletico Arteixo 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DDWLLDWWDW

Head-to-head

Pontevedra B 0–1–1 Atletico Arteixo (2 last)

Pontevedra B0-2Atletico Arteixo
Atletico Arteixo1-1Pontevedra B

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pontevedra B 1491 · Atletico Arteixo 1527

	Pontevedra B	Draw	Atletico Arteixo
Our model	45%	27%	28%
Market	45%	27%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.88 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 11.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Pontevedra B	Atletico Arteixo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.2	1.7 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.8	0.8 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	17/33/50%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 5	2.6 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.8 / 0.5	4.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.30

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.77

2 (+0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
17:18 +3’	2.00	3.30	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Pontevedra B 0–1–1 Atletico Arteixo

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
27/01/24 Spain Tercera Group 1	Pontevedra B	0-2	Atletico Arteixo
10/09/23 Spain Tercera Group 1	Atletico Arteixo	1-1 HT 0-1	Pontevedra B

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 1

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Boiro	10	7	2	1	16	6	23
2	SD Sarriana	10	5	3	2	18	13	18
3	Silva SD	10	5	2	3	14	13	17
4	CD Barco	10	4	4	2	14	9	16
5	Atletico Arteixo	10	4	4	2	17	14	16
6	Portonovo	10	4	3	3	14	11	15
7	CD Estradense	10	4	3	3	16	16	15
8	CD Lalin	10	4	3	3	9	10	15
9	Racing Club Villalbes	10	3	5	2	12	11	14
10	Pontevedra B	10	4	1	5	14	12	13
11	Antela FC	10	3	4	3	8	9	13
12	Alondras	10	3	3	4	12	13	12
13	Somozas	10	2	5	3	9	10	11
14	Celtiga	10	2	5	3	9	11	11
15	CD Arenteiro	10	3	1	6	12	16	10
16	Montaneros	10	3	0	7	13	22	9
17	Gran Pena	10	2	2	6	11	16	8
18	Viveiro CF	10	2	2	6	6	12	8

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Pontevedra B	Atletico Arteixo
CD Lalin	0-1 L	2-0 W
Portonovo	0-1 L	2-2 D
CD Barco	0-1 L	2-1 W
CD Arenteiro	1-0 W	3-1 W
Somozas	1-1 D	2-2 D
Gran Pena	1-2 L	2-3 L
Alondras	6-2 W	2-4 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 4 L	3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Atletico Arteixo (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pontevedra B

WLDWLLLWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	SD Sarriana Spain Tercera Group 1	–	1-3	–	–	L
01/11	Antela FC Spain Tercera Group 1	1-0	1-0	5	10	W
25/10	Silva SD Spain Tercera Group 1	0-0	3-1	4	5	W
18/10	CD Lalin Spain Tercera Group 1	0-1	0-1	8	7	L
10/10	Portonovo Spain Tercera Group 1	–	0-1	–	–	L
04/10	CD Barco Spain Tercera Group 1	–	0-1	–	–	L
27/09	CD Arenteiro Spain Tercera Group 1	0-0	1-0	6	10	W
20/09	Somozas Spain Tercera Group 1	–	1-1	–	–	D
13/09	Gran Pena Spain Tercera Group 1	0-2	1-2	5	8	L
05/09	Alondras Spain Tercera Group 1	0-2	6-2	2	4	W

Atletico Arteixo

DDWLLDWWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	CD Lalin Spain Tercera Group 1	–	2-0	–	–	W
01/11	Portonovo Spain Tercera Group 1	–	2-2	–	–	D
25/10	CD Barco Spain Tercera Group 1	–	2-1	–	–	W
17/10	CD Arenteiro Spain Tercera Group 1	–	3-1	–	–	W
10/10	Somozas Spain Tercera Group 1	2-2	2-2	8	2	D
04/10	Gran Pena Spain Tercera Group 1	1-0	2-3	4	7	L
26/09	Alondras Spain Tercera Group 1	1-3	2-4	3	4	L
20/09	Viveiro CF Spain Tercera Group 1	–	1-0	–	–	W
12/09	CD Estradense Spain Tercera Group 1	0-0	1-1	5	7	D
05/09	Racing Club Villalbes Spain Tercera Group 1	0-0	0-0	2	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pontevedra B vs Atletico Arteixo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Pontevedra B win (45%). Probabilities: Pontevedra B 45%, draw 27%, Atletico Arteixo 28%.

How many goals are expected in Pontevedra B vs Atletico Arteixo?

The model expects 2.88 goals (Pontevedra B 1.63 · Atletico Arteixo 1.24), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Pontevedra B vs Atletico Arteixo?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.