Football · Spain Tercera Group 1 · 12/09, 18:30

Prediction: Celtiga vs CD Boiro

Team pages: Celtiga · CD Boiro

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.61Total
Celtiga1.24
CD Boiro1.36
1X2
33% 29% 38%
Celtiga Draw CD Boiro
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Celtiga 1-3-6 (W-D-L)
DWDLLLLLLD
CD Boiro 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
WWDDWWLWDW
Head-to-head
Celtiga 3–1–2 CD Boiro (6 last)
  • CD Boiro1-1Celtiga
  • Celtiga0-3CD Boiro
  • Celtiga2-0CD Boiro
  • CD Boiro1-2Celtiga
  • CD Boiro0-1Celtiga
  • Celtiga0-2CD Boiro
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Celtiga 1429 · CD Boiro 1572
CeltigaDrawCD Boiro
Our model33%29%38%
Market33%29%38%
Estimated total (ours) 2.61 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Boiro (rating 1429 vs 1572).
  • H2H favours Celtiga: 3-1-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 11.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CeltigaCD Boiro
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.82 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.20.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/40/0%43/29/29%
Corners (HT / FT)1.5 / 42.4 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6 / 0.25.4 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Celtiga 312 CD Boiro

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DateHomeScoreAway
02/04/26
Spain Tercera Group 1
CD Boiro1-1
HT 0-1
Celtiga
12/10/25
Spain Tercera Group 1
Celtiga0-3
HT 0-1
CD Boiro
10/03/19
Spain Tercera Group 1
Celtiga2-0CD Boiro
14/10/18
Spain Tercera Group 1
CD Boiro1-2Celtiga
04/03/18
Spain Tercera Group 1
CD Boiro0-1
HT 0-0
Celtiga
12/10/17
Spain Tercera Group 1
Celtiga0-2CD Boiro

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Pontevedra B 1100 623
2 SD Sarriana 1100 313
3 CD Boiro 1100 323
4 Lalin 1100 213
5 Antela FC 1100 103
5 CD Barco 1100 103
7 Celtiga 1010 111
7 Silva SD 1010 111
9 Atletico Arteixo 1010 001
9 Portonovo 1010 001
9 Racing Club Villalbes 1010 001
9 Somozas 1010 001
13 Montaneros 1001 230
14 Gran Pena 1001 120
15 CD Arenteiro 1001 010
15 Viveiro CF 1001 010
17 CD Estradense 1001 130
18 Alondras 1001 260

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCeltigaCD Boiro
Arosa 2-3 L 0-1 L
Atletico Arteixo 2-3 L 6-0 W
CF Noia 0-3 L 2-0 W
Racing Club Villalbes 0-1 L 0-0 D
UD Barbadas 2-3 L 2-1 W
Alondras 0-1 L 1-0 W
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 6 L 4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: CD Boiro (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Celtiga

DWDLLLLLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 Silva SD
Spain Tercera Group 1
1-1 1-1 34 D
10/05 Arosa
Spain Tercera Group 1
1-0 2-3 46 L
01/05 Atletico Arteixo
Spain Tercera Group 1
2-3 L
25/04 CF Noia
Spain Tercera Group 1
0-3 L
19/04 Racing Club Villalbes
Spain Tercera Group 1
0-1 L
12/04 UD Barbadas
Spain Tercera Group 1
2-3 L
05/04 Alondras
Spain Tercera Group 1
0-0 0-1 35 L
02/04 CD Boiro
Spain Tercera Group 1
1-0 1-1 29 D
28/03 Lugo B
Spain Tercera Group 1
2-1 W
22/03 Gran Pena
Spain Tercera Group 1
1-0 1-1 87 D

CD Boiro

WWDDWWLWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 Montaneros
Spain Tercera Group 1
2-1 3-2 44 W
10/05 Somozas
Spain Tercera Group 1
2-2 D
03/05 Montaneros
Spain Tercera Group 1
1-0 3-1 75 W
26/04 Arosa
Spain Tercera Group 1
0-1 0-1 26 L
19/04 Atletico Arteixo
Spain Tercera Group 1
6-0 W
12/04 CF Noia
Spain Tercera Group 1
2-0 W
05/04 Racing Club Villalbes
Spain Tercera Group 1
0-0 0-0 134 D
02/04 Celtiga
Spain Tercera Group 1
0-1 1-1 69 D
29/03 UD Barbadas
Spain Tercera Group 1
0-0 2-1 74 W
22/03 Alondras
Spain Tercera Group 1
1-0 1-0 39 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Celtiga vs CD Boiro?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CD Boiro win (38%). Probabilities: Celtiga 33%, draw 29%, CD Boiro 38%.

How many goals are expected in Celtiga vs CD Boiro?

The model expects 2.61 goals (Celtiga 1.24 · CD Boiro 1.36), with a 59% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Celtiga vs CD Boiro?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.