Football · Spain Tercera Group 1 · 15/11, 17:15

Prediction: CD Barco vs CD Boiro

Team pages: CD Barco · CD Boiro

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.07Total

CD Barco0.95

CD Boiro1.12

1X2

30% 31% 39%

CD Barco Draw CD Boiro

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 66% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Barco 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WLWDWDDLWD

CD Boiro 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWWDLWWWDW

Head-to-head

CD Barco 3–1–2 CD Boiro (6 last)

CD Boiro0-1CD Barco
CD Barco0-1CD Boiro
CD Boiro1-3CD Barco
CD Barco3-0CD Boiro
CD Barco1-2CD Boiro
CD Boiro0-0CD Barco

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Barco 1536 · CD Boiro 1560

	CD Barco	Draw	CD Boiro
Our model	29%	33%	38%
Market	31%	29%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 2.07 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours CD Barco: 3-1-2.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Barco	CD Boiro
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 0.9	1.6 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	25/0/75%	43/43/14%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 6.2	2.1 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0	4.3 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.88

X3.10

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.80

2 (-0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.05

Under 2.251.75

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
16:28 +54’	2.88	3.10	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Barco 3–1–2 CD Boiro

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/02/26 Spain Tercera Group 1	CD Boiro	0-1 HT 0-0	CD Barco
21/09/25 Spain Tercera Group 1	CD Barco	0-1 HT 0-0	CD Boiro
05/05/19 Spain Tercera Group 1	CD Boiro	1-3	CD Barco
16/12/18 Spain Tercera Group 1	CD Barco	3-0 HT 1-0	CD Boiro
25/02/18 Spain Tercera Group 1	CD Barco	1-2	CD Boiro
08/10/17 Spain Tercera Group 1	CD Boiro	0-0	CD Barco

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Boiro	10	7	2	1	16	6	23
2	SD Sarriana	10	5	3	2	18	13	18
3	Silva SD	10	5	2	3	14	13	17
4	CD Barco	10	4	4	2	14	9	16
5	Atletico Arteixo	10	4	4	2	17	14	16
6	Portonovo	10	4	3	3	14	11	15
7	CD Estradense	10	4	3	3	16	16	15
8	CD Lalin	10	4	3	3	9	10	15
9	Racing Club Villalbes	10	3	5	2	12	11	14
10	Pontevedra B	10	4	1	5	14	12	13
11	Antela FC	10	3	4	3	8	9	13
12	Alondras	10	3	3	4	12	13	12
13	Somozas	10	2	5	3	9	10	11
14	Celtiga	10	2	5	3	9	11	11
15	CD Arenteiro	10	3	1	6	12	16	10
16	Montaneros	10	3	0	7	13	22	9
17	Gran Pena	10	2	2	6	11	16	8
18	Viveiro CF	10	2	2	6	6	12	8

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Barco	CD Boiro
Celtiga	1-1 D	2-0 W
Montaneros	4-0 W	3-2 W
Silva SD	1-2 L	2-0 W
CD Arenteiro	1-0 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	4 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: CD Boiro (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Barco

WLWDWDDLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Celtiga Spain Tercera Group 1	–	1-1	–	–	D
31/10	Montaneros Spain Tercera Group 1	–	4-0	–	–	W
25/10	Atletico Arteixo Spain Tercera Group 1	–	1-2	–	–	L
18/10	SD Sarriana Spain Tercera Group 1	1-0	1-1	6	6	D
11/10	Antela FC Spain Tercera Group 1	–	1-1	–	–	D
04/10	Pontevedra B Spain Tercera Group 1	–	1-0	–	–	W
27/09	CD Lalin Spain Tercera Group 1	0-1	1-1	7	4	D
20/09	Portonovo Spain Tercera Group 1	0-1	2-1	5	7	W
12/09	Silva SD Spain Tercera Group 1	0-2	1-2	6	4	L
06/09	CD Arenteiro Spain Tercera Group 1	–	1-0	7	4	W

CD Boiro

WWWDLWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	CD Arenteiro Spain Tercera Group 1	0-0	3-0	3	5	W
01/11	Somozas Spain Tercera Group 1	–	0-0	–	–	D
25/10	Gran Pena Spain Tercera Group 1	1-0	1-0	5	5	W
18/10	Alondras Spain Tercera Group 1	0-0	1-0	7	6	W
11/10	Viveiro CF Spain Tercera Group 1	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
04/10	CD Estradense Spain Tercera Group 1	1-2	2-3	5	7	L
27/09	Racing Club Villalbes Spain Tercera Group 1	–	1-1	–	–	D
19/09	Silva SD Spain Tercera Group 1	–	2-0	–	–	W
12/09	Celtiga Spain Tercera Group 1	1-0	2-0	4	1	W
06/09	Montaneros Spain Tercera Group 1	2-1	3-2	4	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Barco vs CD Boiro?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CD Boiro win (39%). Probabilities: CD Barco 30%, draw 31%, CD Boiro 39%.

How many goals are expected in CD Barco vs CD Boiro?

The model expects 2.07 goals (CD Barco 0.95 · CD Boiro 1.12), with a 56% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Barco vs CD Boiro?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.