Football · Spain Tercera Group 1 · 15/11, 12:30

Prediction: Silva SD vs Alondras

Team pages: Silva SD · Alondras

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.58Total

Silva SD1.36

Alondras1.22

1X2

39% 28% 33%

Silva SD Draw Alondras

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Silva SD 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWLLDWWLWW

Alondras 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LWWWLDLDDL

Head-to-head

Silva SD 0–3–3 Alondras (6 last)

Alondras1-1Silva SD
Silva SD0-3Alondras
Alondras3-1Silva SD
Silva SD1-1Alondras
Alondras1-1Silva SD
Silva SD0-1Alondras

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Silva SD 1515 · Alondras 1496

	Silva SD	Draw	Alondras
Our model	39%	29%	32%
Market	39%	28%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.58 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Alondras: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Silva SD	Alondras
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.3	1.2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	1 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	25/50/25%	40/60/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4	2.8 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.1	4.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.20

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.75

2 (0)2.05

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.90

Under 2.251.90

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
16:59 +18’	2.30	3.20	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Silva SD 0–3–3 Alondras

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 Spain Tercera Group 1	Alondras	1-1 HT 0-0	Silva SD
07/12/25 Spain Tercera Group 1	Silva SD	0-3 HT 0-1	Alondras
01/03/25 Spain Tercera Group 1	Alondras	3-1 HT 0-0	Silva SD
19/10/24 Spain Tercera Group 1	Silva SD	1-1 HT 0-0	Alondras
07/04/24 Spain Tercera Group 1	Alondras	1-1	Silva SD
19/11/23 Spain Tercera Group 1	Silva SD	0-1 HT 0-1	Alondras

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Boiro	10	7	2	1	16	6	23
2	SD Sarriana	10	5	3	2	18	13	18
3	Silva SD	10	5	2	3	14	13	17
4	CD Barco	10	4	4	2	14	9	16
5	Atletico Arteixo	10	4	4	2	17	14	16
6	Portonovo	10	4	3	3	14	11	15
7	CD Estradense	10	4	3	3	16	16	15
8	CD Lalin	10	4	3	3	9	10	15
9	Racing Club Villalbes	10	3	5	2	12	11	14
10	Pontevedra B	10	4	1	5	14	12	13
11	Antela FC	10	3	4	3	8	9	13
12	Alondras	10	3	3	4	12	13	12
13	Somozas	10	2	5	3	9	10	11
14	Celtiga	10	2	5	3	9	11	11
15	CD Arenteiro	10	3	1	6	12	16	10
16	Montaneros	10	3	0	7	13	22	9
17	Gran Pena	10	2	2	6	11	16	8
18	Viveiro CF	10	2	2	6	6	12	8

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Silva SD	Alondras
Antela FC	1-0 W	2-0 W
Viveiro CF	2-0 W	0-1 L
Pontevedra B	1-3 L	2-6 L
CD Estradense	2-1 W	1-1 D
Racing Club Villalbes	0-0 D	1-1 D
CD Boiro	0-2 L	0-1 L
Celtiga	1-1 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 2 L	1 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Silva SD (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Silva SD

DWLLDWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Antela FC Spain Tercera Group 1	0-0	1-0	3	7	W
31/10	Viveiro CF Spain Tercera Group 1	2-0	2-0	8	2	W
25/10	Pontevedra B Spain Tercera Group 1	0-0	1-3	2	5	L
18/10	CD Estradense Spain Tercera Group 1	0-1	2-1	1	3	W
11/10	CD Lalin Spain Tercera Group 1	0-1	3-1	5	4	W
03/10	Racing Club Villalbes Spain Tercera Group 1	0-0	0-0	7	5	D
27/09	Portonovo Spain Tercera Group 1	–	2-4	–	–	L
19/09	CD Boiro Spain Tercera Group 1	–	0-2	–	–	L
12/09	CD Barco Spain Tercera Group 1	2-0	2-1	5	4	W
06/09	Celtiga Spain Tercera Group 1	1-1	1-1	1	4	D

Alondras

LWWWLDLDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Viveiro CF Spain Tercera Group 1	–	0-1	–	–	L
01/11	CD Estradense Spain Tercera Group 1	–	1-1	–	–	D
25/10	Racing Club Villalbes Spain Tercera Group 1	0-0	1-1	6	6	D
18/10	CD Boiro Spain Tercera Group 1	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
11/10	Celtiga Spain Tercera Group 1	–	0-0	–	–	D
03/10	Montaneros Spain Tercera Group 1	0-0	0-1	6	2	L
26/09	Atletico Arteixo Spain Tercera Group 1	3-1	4-2	4	4	W
20/09	SD Sarriana Spain Tercera Group 1	–	2-0	–	–	W
13/09	Antela FC Spain Tercera Group 1	–	2-0	–	–	W
05/09	Pontevedra B Spain Tercera Group 1	2-0	2-6	4	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Silva SD vs Alondras?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Silva SD win (39%). Probabilities: Silva SD 39%, draw 28%, Alondras 33%.

How many goals are expected in Silva SD vs Alondras?

The model expects 2.58 goals (Silva SD 1.36 · Alondras 1.22), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Silva SD vs Alondras?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.