Football · Spain Tercera Group 1 · 15/11, 12:00
Prediction: Gran Pena vs Viveiro CF
Team pages: Gran Pena · Viveiro CF
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.27Total
Gran Pena1.4
Viveiro CF0.87
1X2
Gran Pena
Draw
Viveiro CF
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Gran Pena
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Viveiro CF
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Gran Pena
3–2–1
Viveiro CF
(6 last)
- Viveiro CF2-1Gran Pena
- Gran Pena0-0Viveiro CF
- Viveiro CF0-0Gran Pena
- Gran Pena5-4Viveiro CF
- Viveiro CF1-2Gran Pena
- Gran Pena2-0Viveiro CF
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gran Pena 1444 · Viveiro CF 1465
| Gran Pena | Draw | Viveiro CF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 30% | 22% |
| Market | 50% | 26% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.27 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Gran Pena: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gran Pena | Viveiro CF | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.6 | 0.6 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.9 | 0.4 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 14/29/57% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 4.5 | 1.6 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.3 | 5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gran Pena 3–2–1 Viveiro CF
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/26 Spain Tercera Group 1 | Viveiro CF | 2-1 | Gran Pena |
| 23/11/25 Spain Tercera Group 1 | Gran Pena | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Viveiro CF |
| 01/03/25 Spain Tercera Group 1 | Viveiro CF | 0-0 | Gran Pena |
| 20/10/24 Spain Tercera Group 1 | Gran Pena | 5-4 HT 1-2 | Viveiro CF |
| 23/03/24 Spain Tercera Group 1 | Viveiro CF | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Gran Pena |
| 05/11/23 Spain Tercera Group 1 | Gran Pena | 2-0 | Viveiro CF |
Standings · Spain Tercera Group 1
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Boiro | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 23 |
| 2 | SD Sarriana | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 13 | 18 |
| 3 | Silva SD | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 17 |
| 4 | CD Barco | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 16 |
| 5 | Atletico Arteixo | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 14 | 16 |
| 6 | Portonovo | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 15 |
| 7 | CD Estradense | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 15 |
| 8 | CD Lalin | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 15 |
| 9 | Racing Club Villalbes | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 14 |
| 10 | Pontevedra B | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 13 |
| 11 | Antela FC | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 13 |
| 12 | Alondras | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 12 |
| 13 | Somozas | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
| 14 | Celtiga | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 11 |
| 15 | CD Arenteiro | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 10 |
| 16 | Montaneros | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 9 |
| 17 | Gran Pena | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 8 |
| 18 | Viveiro CF | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 8 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gran Pena | Viveiro CF |
|---|---|---|
| CD Estradense | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| Racing Club Villalbes | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| CD Boiro | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Celtiga | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Montaneros | 1-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Atletico Arteixo | 3-2 W | 0-1 L |
| SD Sarriana | 2-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Antela FC | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 5 L | 1 W 2 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Gran Pena (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gran Pena
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | CD Estradense Spain Tercera Group 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 01/11 | Racing Club Villalbes Spain Tercera Group 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 25/10 | CD Boiro Spain Tercera Group 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 18/10 | Celtiga Spain Tercera Group 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 11/10 | Montaneros Spain Tercera Group 1 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 04/10 | Atletico Arteixo Spain Tercera Group 1 |
0-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 26/09 | SD Sarriana Spain Tercera Group 1 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 20/09 | Antela FC Spain Tercera Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 8 | D |
| 13/09 | Pontevedra B Spain Tercera Group 1 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 06/09 | CD Lalin Spain Tercera Group 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
Viveiro CF
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Alondras Spain Tercera Group 1 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 31/10 | Silva SD Spain Tercera Group 1 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 25/10 | CD Estradense Spain Tercera Group 1 |
2-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 18/10 | Racing Club Villalbes Spain Tercera Group 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 8 | D |
| 11/10 | CD Boiro Spain Tercera Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 04/10 | Celtiga Spain Tercera Group 1 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 27/09 | Montaneros Spain Tercera Group 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 20/09 | Atletico Arteixo Spain Tercera Group 1 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 13/09 | SD Sarriana Spain Tercera Group 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | Antela FC Spain Tercera Group 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 10 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gran Pena vs Viveiro CF?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Gran Pena win (49%). Probabilities: Gran Pena 49%, draw 28%, Viveiro CF 23%.
How many goals are expected in Gran Pena vs Viveiro CF?
The model expects 2.27 goals (Gran Pena 1.4 · Viveiro CF 0.87), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Gran Pena vs Viveiro CF?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.