Football · Spain Tercera Group 1 · 15/11, 17:00

Prediction: Somozas vs CD Estradense

Team pages: Somozas · CD Estradense

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.49Total

Somozas1.38

CD Estradense1.11

1X2

42% 29% 29%

Somozas Draw CD Estradense

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Somozas 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DLDLWDLDDW

CD Estradense 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LDWLWWLWDD

Head-to-head

Somozas 3–3 CD Estradense (6 last)

CD Estradense2-1Somozas
Somozas2-1CD Estradense
Somozas2-0CD Estradense
CD Estradense3-1Somozas
Somozas3-0CD Estradense
CD Estradense2-0Somozas

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 13.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Somozas	CD Estradense
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1	1.6 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.8	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/60/40%	22/44/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.8	2.8 / 7.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.8 / 0.4	5.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.86

Under 2.251.89

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:07

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Pinn 2.45
X	3.06 → 3.06	Pinn 3.06
2	2.76 → 2.76	Pinn 2.76

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.7%

Time*	1	X	2
07:06 +2’	2.45	3.06	2.76

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Somozas 3–0–3 CD Estradense

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Spain Tercera Group 1	CD Estradense	2-1	Somozas
14/12/25 Spain Tercera Group 1	Somozas	2-1	CD Estradense
17/04/25 Spain Tercera Group 1	Somozas	2-0 HT 2-0	CD Estradense
15/09/24 Spain Tercera Group 1	CD Estradense	3-1 HT 0-0	Somozas
07/04/24 Spain Tercera Group 1	Somozas	3-0	CD Estradense
19/11/23 Spain Tercera Group 1	CD Estradense	2-0	Somozas

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Boiro	10	7	2	1	16	6	23
2	SD Sarriana	10	5	3	2	18	13	18
3	Silva SD	10	5	2	3	14	13	17
4	CD Barco	10	4	4	2	14	9	16
5	Atletico Arteixo	10	4	4	2	17	14	16
6	Portonovo	10	4	3	3	14	11	15
7	CD Estradense	10	4	3	3	16	16	15
8	CD Lalin	10	4	3	3	9	10	15
9	Racing Club Villalbes	10	3	5	2	12	11	14
10	Pontevedra B	10	4	1	5	14	12	13
11	Antela FC	10	3	4	3	8	9	13
12	Alondras	10	3	3	4	12	13	12
13	Somozas	10	2	5	3	9	10	11
14	Celtiga	10	2	5	3	9	11	11
15	CD Arenteiro	10	3	1	6	12	16	10
16	Montaneros	10	3	0	7	13	22	9
17	Gran Pena	10	2	2	6	11	16	8
18	Viveiro CF	10	2	2	6	6	12	8

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Somozas	CD Estradense
Racing Club Villalbes	2-1 W	2-1 W
CD Boiro	0-0 D	3-2 W
Celtiga	1-1 D	0-2 L
Montaneros	1-2 L	3-1 W
Atletico Arteixo	2-2 D	1-1 D
SD Sarriana	2-1 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Somozas

DLDLWDLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Racing Club Villalbes Spain Tercera Group 1	0-1	2-1	9	8	W
01/11	CD Boiro Spain Tercera Group 1	–	0-0	–	–	D
24/10	Celtiga Spain Tercera Group 1	0-0	1-1	2	6	D
18/10	Montaneros Spain Tercera Group 1	–	1-2	–	–	L
10/10	Atletico Arteixo Spain Tercera Group 1	2-2	2-2	5	2	D
04/10	SD Sarriana Spain Tercera Group 1	–	2-1	–	–	W
26/09	Antela FC Spain Tercera Group 1	0-1	0-1	6	10	L
20/09	Pontevedra B Spain Tercera Group 1	–	1-1	–	–	D
13/09	CD Lalin Spain Tercera Group 1	–	0-1	–	–	L
06/09	Portonovo Spain Tercera Group 1	0-0	0-0	7	5	D

CD Estradense

LDWLWWLWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Gran Pena Spain Tercera Group 1	0-0	1-1	5	7	D
01/11	Alondras Spain Tercera Group 1	–	1-1	–	–	D
25/10	Viveiro CF Spain Tercera Group 1	2-2	3-2	10	4	W
18/10	Silva SD Spain Tercera Group 1	1-0	1-2	5	3	L
11/10	Racing Club Villalbes Spain Tercera Group 1	0-0	2-1	9	5	W
04/10	CD Boiro Spain Tercera Group 1	2-1	3-2	6	7	W
27/09	Celtiga Spain Tercera Group 1	0-1	0-2	12	2	L
20/09	Montaneros Spain Tercera Group 1	0-1	3-1	9	4	W
12/09	Atletico Arteixo Spain Tercera Group 1	0-0	1-1	6	7	D
06/09	SD Sarriana Spain Tercera Group 1	0-2	1-3	7	10	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Somozas vs CD Estradense?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Somozas win (42%). Probabilities: Somozas 42%, draw 29%, CD Estradense 29%.

How many goals are expected in Somozas vs CD Estradense?

The model expects 2.49 goals (Somozas 1.38 · CD Estradense 1.11), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Somozas vs CD Estradense?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.