Football · Singapore Premier League · 31/10, 12:30

Prediction: Hougang United FC vs Young Lions

Team pages: Hougang United FC · Young Lions

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.33Total

Hougang United FC2.26

Young Lions1.07

1X2

64% 20% 16%

Hougang United FC Draw Young Lions

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Hougang United FC 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

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Young Lions 0-1-9 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Hougang United FC 3–1–2 Young Lions (6 last)

Young Lions0-2Hougang United FC
Hougang United FC2-0Young Lions
Young Lions0-2Hougang United FC
Young Lions4-3Hougang United FC
Hougang United FC0-3Young Lions
Hougang United FC3-3Young Lions

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hougang United FC 1456 · Young Lions 1375

	Hougang United FC	Draw	Young Lions
Our model	63%	21%	16%
Market	64%	20%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 3.33 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hougang United FC (rating 1456 vs 1375).
H2H favours Hougang United FC: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hougang United FC	Young Lions
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2	0.7 / 3.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	0.6 / 1.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.8	0.9 / 2.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.6	3.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.40

X4.50

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.80

2 (+1.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.88

Under 3.51.93

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
07:07 +3’	1.40	4.50	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Hougang United FC 3–1–2 Young Lions

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 Singapore Premier League	Young Lions	0-2 HT 0-0	Hougang United FC
30/01/26 Singapore Premier League	Hougang United FC	2-0 HT 1-0	Young Lions
02/10/25 Singapore Premier League	Young Lions	0-2 HT 0-0	Hougang United FC
19/05/25 Singapore Premier League	Young Lions	4-3 HT 1-1	Hougang United FC
01/03/25 Singapore Cup	Hougang United FC	0-3 HT 0-2	Young Lions
22/02/25 Singapore Premier League	Hougang United FC	3-3 HT 2-3	Young Lions

Standings · Singapore Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Geylang International	5	4	1	0	12	2	13
2	Tampines Rovers FC	4	4	0	0	13	3	12
3	Lion City Sailors FC	4	3	1	0	16	3	10
4	Balestier Khalsa FC	5	2	1	2	7	8	7
5	FC Jurong	5	2	0	3	10	8	6
6	Tanjong Pagar United	5	2	0	3	6	15	6
7	Hougang United FC	5	0	1	4	4	12	1
8	Young Lions	5	0	0	5	4	21	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hougang United FC	Young Lions
Geylang International	0-3 L	1-5 L
Balestier Khalsa FC	1-2 L	1-2 L
FC Jurong	0-3 L	0-4 L
Lion City Sailors FC	2-2 D	1-6 L
Tampines Rovers FC	0-1 L	1-4 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 4 L	0 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Hougang United FC (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hougang United FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/10	Geylang International Singapore Premier League	0-1	0-3	1	4	L
16/10	Tanjong Pagar United Singapore Premier League	0-0	1-2	7	4	L
12/10	Balestier Khalsa FC Singapore Premier League	1-2	1-2	8	7	L
18/09	FC Jurong Singapore Premier League	0-2	0-3	2	4	L
12/09	Lion City Sailors FC Singapore Premier League	2-1	2-2	1	4	D
18/05	Tanjong Pagar United Singapore Premier League	0-0	1-2	12	7	L
10/05	Tampines Rovers FC Singapore Premier League	0-0	0-1	3	6	L
05/05	Tanjong Pagar United Singapore Premier League	1-0	2-1	6	5	W
27/04	Balestier Khalsa FC Singapore Premier League	2-0	3-0	5	3	W
18/04	FC Jurong Singapore Premier League	0-1	0-4	3	5	L

Young Lions

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Balestier Khalsa FC Singapore Premier League	1-2	1-2	4	5	L
18/10	Tampines Rovers FC Singapore Premier League	1-0	1-4	0	3	L
11/10	Lion City Sailors FC Singapore Premier League	1-2	1-6	1	4	L
19/09	Geylang International Singapore Premier League	1-3	1-5	7	2	L
13/09	FC Jurong Singapore Premier League	0-2	0-4	5	3	L
16/05	FC Jurong Singapore Premier League	0-2	0-3	1	7	L
09/05	Geylang International Singapore Premier League	1-1	2-2	3	3	D
04/05	FC Jurong Singapore Premier League	0-0	0-1	1	4	L
24/04	Tampines Rovers FC Singapore Premier League	1-4	1-8	2	2	L
20/04	Lion City Sailors FC Singapore Premier League	0-0	0-2	5	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hougang United FC vs Young Lions?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hougang United FC win (64%). Probabilities: Hougang United FC 64%, draw 20%, Young Lions 16%.

How many goals are expected in Hougang United FC vs Young Lions?

The model expects 3.33 goals (Hougang United FC 2.26 · Young Lions 1.07), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Hougang United FC vs Young Lions?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.