Football · USA College Championship Women · 14/08, 02:00
Prediction: Wisconsin (W) vs TCU (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.55Total
Wisconsin (W)1.28
TCU (W)1.28
1X2
Wisconsin (W)
Draw
TCU (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Wisconsin (W)
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
TCU (W)
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Wisconsin (W) 1537 · TCU (W) 1552
| Wisconsin (W) | Draw | TCU (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 29% | 35% |
| Market | 38% | 25% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.55 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Wisconsin (W) | TCU (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.7 | 2.3 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | – / – | – / – |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | //% | //% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / – | – / – |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | – / – | – / – |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Wisconsin (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/11 | Baylor Women USA College Championship Women |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 15/11 | Western Michigan (W) USA College Championship Women |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 06/11 | Washington (W) USA College Championship Women |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 01/11 | Iowa (W) USA College Championship Women |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/10 | Northwestern Women USA College Championship Women |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 19/10 | Washington (W) USA College Championship Women |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 17/10 | Oregon (W) USA College Championship Women |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/10 | USC (W) USA College Championship Women |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/10 | UCLA Women USA College Championship Women |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 05/10 | Minnesota (W) USA College Championship Women |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
TCU (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/12 | Florida State (W) USA College Championship Women |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 30/11 | Vanderbilt Women USA College Championship Women |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 24/11 | North Carolina Tar Heels (W) USA College Championship Women |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 22/11 | Memphis (W) USA College Championship Women |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/11 | Grambling State (W) USA College Championship Women |
– | 7-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/11 | BYU Women USA College Championship Women |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 31/10 | Houston (W) USA College Championship Women |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/10 | Arizona State (W) USA College Championship Women |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 24/10 | Arizona (W) USA College Championship Women |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/10 | Oklahoma State Women USA College Championship Women |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Wisconsin (W) vs TCU (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Wisconsin (W) win (37%). Probabilities: Wisconsin (W) 37%, draw 27%, TCU (W) 37%.
How many goals are expected in Wisconsin (W) vs TCU (W)?
The model expects 2.55 goals (Wisconsin (W) 1.28 · TCU (W) 1.28), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Wisconsin (W) vs TCU (W)?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.