Football · Italy Serie D · 15/11, 15:00
Prediction: Chisola vs Sestri Levante
Team pages: Chisola · Sestri Levante
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.61Total
Chisola1.65
Sestri Levante0.96
1X2
Chisola
Draw
Sestri Levante
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Chisola
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Sestri Levante
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Chisola
0–2–2
Sestri Levante
(4 last)
- Chisola1-2Sestri Levante
- Sestri Levante1-1Chisola
- Chisola0-1Sestri Levante
- Sestri Levante1-1Chisola
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chisola (rating 1552 vs 1503).
- H2H favours Sestri Levante: 2-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chisola | Sestri Levante | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.1 | 0.8 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 71/14/14% | 0/38/63% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4 | 1.6 / 2.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.3 | 3.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chisola 0–2–2 Sestri Levante
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/26 Italy Serie D | Chisola | 1-2 | Sestri Levante |
| 18/11/25 Italy Serie D | Sestri Levante | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Chisola |
| 29/01/23 Italy Serie D | Chisola | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Sestri Levante |
| 28/09/22 Italy Serie D | Sestri Levante | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Chisola |
Standings · Italy Serie D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 26 |
| 2 | Sambiase | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 26 |
| 3 | Vibonese | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 24 |
| 4 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 19 |
| 5 | Milazzo | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 19 |
| 6 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 18 |
| 7 | Igea Virtus | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 25 | 22 | 18 |
| 8 | Città di Gela | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 15 |
| 9 | Siracusa | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 14 |
| 10 | ASD Licata | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 22 | 14 |
| 11 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 14 |
| 12 | Nissa FC | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 12 |
| 13 | Modica | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 10 |
| 14 | Trapani | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 9 |
| 15 | Vigor Lamezia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 8 |
| 16 | ASD CastrumFavara | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 8 |
| 17 | ASD Ragusa | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 23 | 3 |
| 18 | Enna Calcio | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 3 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chisola | Sestri Levante |
|---|---|---|
| AC Bra | 5-1 W | 3-2 W |
| ACSD Saluzzo | 3-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Celle Varazze FBC | 4-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Ligorna | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Biellesse | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Sanremese | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| USD Fezzanese | 0-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Chisola (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chisola
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Valenzana Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 01/11 | AC Bra Italy Serie D |
– | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/10 | ASDC Gozzano Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 18/10 | ACSD Saluzzo Italy Serie D |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/10 | Derthona Italy Serie D |
4-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 04/10 | Celle Varazze FBC Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 27/09 | Ligorna Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 20/09 | Biellesse Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 16/09 | Sanremese Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 13/09 | USD Fezzanese Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
Sestri Levante
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | AC Bra Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 01/11 | Ligorna Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 25/10 | ACSD Saluzzo Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 18/10 | Sanremese Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 11/10 | Celle Varazze FBC Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 04/10 | Borgosesia Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 27/09 | Biellesse Italy Serie D |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 20/09 | GSD Lascaris Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 16/09 | USD Fezzanese Italy Serie D |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 13/09 | Alessandria Italy Serie D |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chisola vs Sestri Levante?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Chisola win (52%). Probabilities: Chisola 52%, draw 27%, Sestri Levante 21%.
How many goals are expected in Chisola vs Sestri Levante?
The model expects 2.61 goals (Chisola 1.65 · Sestri Levante 0.96), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Chisola vs Sestri Levante?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.