Football · Italy Serie D · 08/11, 14:30
Prediction: ASDC Gozzano vs Derthona
Team pages: ASDC Gozzano · Derthona
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.49Total
ASDC Gozzano1.34
Derthona1.14
1X2
ASDC Gozzano
Draw
Derthona
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
ASDC Gozzano
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Derthona
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
ASDC Gozzano
2–4–0
Derthona
(6 last)
- Derthona1-1ASDC Gozzano
- ASDC Gozzano1-1Derthona
- Derthona1-1ASDC Gozzano
- Derthona0-1ASDC Gozzano
- ASDC Gozzano2-2Derthona
- Derthona0-3ASDC Gozzano
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours ASDC Gozzano: 2-4-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| ASDC Gozzano | Derthona | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.5 | 1.4 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1 | 1 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/17/50% | 43/29/29% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 3.3 | 2.6 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.3 | 4.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · ASDC Gozzano 2–4–0 Derthona
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Italy Serie D Play-Offs | Derthona | 1-1 HT 1-1 | ASDC Gozzano |
| 08/02/26 Italy Serie D | ASDC Gozzano | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Derthona |
| 05/10/25 Italy Serie D | Derthona | 1-1 HT 0-1 | ASDC Gozzano |
| 25/01/25 Italy Serie D | Derthona | 0-1 HT 0-0 | ASDC Gozzano |
| 28/09/24 Italy Serie D | ASDC Gozzano | 2-2 | Derthona |
| 27/01/24 Italy Serie D | Derthona | 0-3 | ASDC Gozzano |
Standings · Italy Serie D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 7 | 23 |
| 2 | Sambiase | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | Vibonese | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 21 |
| 4 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 19 |
| 5 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 18 |
| 6 | Milazzo | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 16 |
| 7 | Igea Virtus | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 21 | 15 |
| 8 | ASD Licata | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 14 |
| 9 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 14 |
| 10 | Città di Gela | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 12 |
| 11 | Nissa FC | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 12 |
| 12 | Siracusa | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 11 |
| 13 | Vigor Lamezia | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 8 |
| 14 | ASD CastrumFavara | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 8 |
| 15 | Modica | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 7 |
| 16 | Trapani | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 6 |
| 17 | ASD Ragusa | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 21 | 3 |
| 18 | Enna Calcio | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 3 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | ASDC Gozzano | Derthona |
|---|---|---|
| ACSD Saluzzo | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Celle Varazze FBC | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Chisola | 2-3 L | 2-4 L |
| Ligorna | 0-4 L | 3-2 W |
| Asti | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Derthona (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
ASDC Gozzano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | ACSD Saluzzo Italy Serie D |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 28/10 | Celle Varazze FBC Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 25/10 | Chisola Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 11/10 | Ligorna Italy Serie D |
0-2 | 0-4 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 04/10 | Biellesse Italy Serie D |
1-2 | 1-4 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 27/09 | Sanremese Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 21/09 | USD Fezzanese Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 16/09 | Borgosesia Italy Serie D |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 12/09 | Asti Italy Serie D |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 03/05 | Cairese Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Derthona
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | GSD Lascaris Italy Serie D |
2-2 | 4-3 | 6 | 10 | W |
| 25/10 | AC Bra Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 18/10 | Asti Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 11/10 | Chisola Italy Serie D |
1-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 04/10 | Alessandria Italy Serie D |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 27/09 | ACSD Saluzzo Italy Serie D |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 20/09 | ASD Millesimo Calcio Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/09 | Ligorna Italy Serie D |
2-1 | 3-2 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 13/09 | ASD Imperia Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 06/09 | Celle Varazze FBC Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in ASDC Gozzano vs Derthona?
According to our model, the most likely result is a ASDC Gozzano win (40%). Probabilities: ASDC Gozzano 40%, draw 29%, Derthona 31%.
How many goals are expected in ASDC Gozzano vs Derthona?
The model expects 2.49 goals (ASDC Gozzano 1.34 · Derthona 1.14), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in ASDC Gozzano vs Derthona?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.