Football · Italy Serie D · 15/11, 14:30

Prediction: Ligorna vs ASD Imperia

Team pages: Ligorna · ASD Imperia

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.44Total
Ligorna1.55
ASD Imperia0.9
1X2
52% 27% 21%
Ligorna Draw ASD Imperia
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Ligorna 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
LLWWWWLWDD
ASD Imperia 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
DLWLDWLWDL
Head-to-head
Ligorna 2–3–1 ASD Imperia (6 last)
  • Ligorna0-2ASD Imperia
  • ASD Imperia2-2Ligorna
  • Ligorna1-1ASD Imperia
  • ASD Imperia1-3Ligorna
  • ASD Imperia0-0Ligorna
  • Ligorna2-1ASD Imperia
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ligorna 1522 · ASD Imperia 1500
LigornaDrawASD Imperia
Our model51%28%21%
Market52%26%21%
Estimated total (ours) 2.44 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Ligorna: 2-3-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

LigornaASD Imperia
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 11.2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.90.2 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)13/50/38%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 5.51 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.6 / 0.42.8 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ligorna 2–3–1 ASD Imperia

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DateHomeScoreAway
08/02/26
Italy Serie D
Ligorna0-2
HT 0-0
ASD Imperia
05/10/25
Italy Serie D
ASD Imperia2-2Ligorna
05/01/25
Italy Serie D
Ligorna1-1
HT 0-1
ASD Imperia
08/09/24
Italy Serie D
ASD Imperia1-3Ligorna
26/03/22
Italy Serie D
ASD Imperia0-0Ligorna
07/11/21
Italy Serie D
Ligorna2-1ASD Imperia

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 11821 28726
2 Sambiase 11821 19826
3 Vibonese 11731 241024
4 Calcio Avola 1949 11614 171619
5 Milazzo 11614 141319
6 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 11533 161018
7 Igea Virtus 11533 252218
8 Città di Gela 11443 13915
9 Siracusa 11632 181014
10 ASD Licata 11425 112214
11 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 10424 131214
12 Nissa FC 11335 161512
13 Modica 10316 121310
14 Trapani 11425 9149
15 Vigor Lamezia 11227 11218
16 ASD CastrumFavara 11227 12198
17 ASD Ragusa 11038 9233
18 Enna Calcio 11038 4273

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLigornaASD Imperia
ACSD Saluzzo 2-1 W 0-1 L
Celle Varazze FBC 2-0 W 2-0 W
Derthona 2-3 L 1-1 D
Biellesse 1-3 L 2-1 W
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 2 L 2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: ASD Imperia (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ligorna

LLWWWWLWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/11 ASD Millesimo Calcio
Italy Serie D
– 0-0 –– D
01/11 Sestri Levante
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 66 D
25/10 Valenzana
Italy Serie D
– 1-0 –– W
18/10 AC Bra
Italy Serie D
0-2 1-2 912 L
11/10 ASDC Gozzano
Italy Serie D
2-0 4-0 03 W
04/10 ACSD Saluzzo
Italy Serie D
1-1 2-1 71 W
27/09 Chisola
Italy Serie D
0-1 2-1 53 W
20/09 Celle Varazze FBC
Italy Serie D
0-0 2-0 43 W
16/09 Derthona
Italy Serie D
1-2 2-3 84 L
13/09 Biellesse
Italy Serie D
1-1 1-3 58 L

ASD Imperia

DLWLDWLWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/11 ACSD Saluzzo
Italy Serie D
– 0-1 –– L
01/11 Sanremese
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 34 D
25/10 Celle Varazze FBC
Italy Serie D
0-0 2-0 30 W
18/10 Borgosesia
Italy Serie D
– 2-4 –– L
11/10 Biellesse
Italy Serie D
– 2-1 –– W
04/10 GSD Lascaris
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
30/09 Alessandria
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-2 63 L
27/09 USD Fezzanese
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-0 13 W
16/09 Asti
Italy Serie D
– 1-2 –– L
13/09 Derthona
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-1 44 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ligorna vs ASD Imperia?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ligorna win (52%). Probabilities: Ligorna 52%, draw 27%, ASD Imperia 21%.

How many goals are expected in Ligorna vs ASD Imperia?

The model expects 2.44 goals (Ligorna 1.55 · ASD Imperia 0.9), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Ligorna vs ASD Imperia?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.