Football · Italy Serie D · 15/11, 14:30

Prediction: Biellesse vs Asti

Team pages: Biellesse · Asti

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.83Total
Biellesse1.89
Asti0.94
1X2
59% 24% 17%
Biellesse Draw Asti
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Biellesse 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WWDWWLWLWD
Asti 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WWDLWLDLWL
Head-to-head
Biellesse 2–0 Asti (2 last)
  • Biellesse1-0Asti
  • Asti1-2Biellesse
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Biellesse 1547 · Asti 1484
BiellesseDrawAsti
Our model59%24%17%
Market59%24%17%
Estimated total (ours) 2.83 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Biellesse (rating 1547 vs 1484).
  • H2H favours Biellesse: 2-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

BiellesseAsti
Goals for / against (FT)2.2 / 1.21.3 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)1.2 / 0.80.7 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)33/44/22%33/0/67%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 51.7 / 2.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.4 / 0.14.3 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Biellesse 2–0–0 Asti

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/02/26
Italy Serie D
Biellesse1-0Asti
19/10/25
Italy Serie D
Asti1-2
HT 0-2
Biellesse

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 11821 28726
2 Sambiase 11821 19826
3 Vibonese 11731 241024
4 Calcio Avola 1949 11614 171619
5 Milazzo 11614 141319
6 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 11533 161018
7 Igea Virtus 11533 252218
8 Città di Gela 11443 13915
9 Siracusa 11632 181014
10 ASD Licata 11425 112214
11 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 10424 131214
12 Nissa FC 11335 161512
13 Modica 10316 121310
14 Trapani 11425 9149
15 Vigor Lamezia 11227 11218
16 ASD CastrumFavara 11227 12198
17 ASD Ragusa 11038 9233
18 Enna Calcio 11038 4273

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBiellesseAsti
GSD Lascaris 2-2 D 0-1 L
ASD Millesimo Calcio 4-1 W 2-0 W
Alessandria 0-2 L 0-2 L
Valenzana 4-1 W 2-2 D
ASD Imperia 1-2 L 2-1 W
ASDC Gozzano 4-1 W 2-0 W
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 2 L 3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Biellesse (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Biellesse

WWDWWLWLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/11 GSD Lascaris
Italy Serie D
1-2 2-2 53 D
01/11 ASD Millesimo Calcio
Italy Serie D
0-0 4-1 84 W
25/10 Alessandria
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-2 129 L
18/10 Valenzana
Italy Serie D
4-0 4-1 83 W
11/10 ASD Imperia
Italy Serie D
– 1-2 –– L
04/10 ASDC Gozzano
Italy Serie D
2-1 4-1 15 W
27/09 Sestri Levante
Italy Serie D
2-1 2-1 23 W
20/09 Chisola
Italy Serie D
1-1 1-1 32 D
16/09 AC Bra
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-0 34 W
13/09 Ligorna
Italy Serie D
1-1 3-1 38 W

Asti

WWDLWLDLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/11 Sanremese
Italy Serie D
1-2 2-3 24 L
31/10 USD Fezzanese
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-0 25 W
25/10 Borgosesia
Italy Serie D
– 0-3 –– L
18/10 Derthona
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-1 34 D
11/10 GSD Lascaris
Italy Serie D
– 0-1 –– L
04/10 ASD Millesimo Calcio
Italy Serie D
– 2-0 –– W
27/09 Alessandria
Italy Serie D
– 0-2 –– L
20/09 Valenzana
Italy Serie D
– 2-2 –– D
16/09 ASD Imperia
Italy Serie D
– 2-1 –– W
12/09 ASDC Gozzano
Italy Serie D
– 2-0 –– W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Biellesse vs Asti?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Biellesse win (59%). Probabilities: Biellesse 59%, draw 24%, Asti 17%.

How many goals are expected in Biellesse vs Asti?

The model expects 2.83 goals (Biellesse 1.89 · Asti 0.94), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Biellesse vs Asti?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.