Football · England EFL Cup · 27/08, 21:00
Prediction: Fulham vs AFC Wimbledon
Team pages: AFC Wimbledon
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.33Total
Fulham1.89
AFC Wimbledon0.44
1X2
Fulham
Draw
AFC Wimbledon
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 56%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Fulham
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
AFC Wimbledon
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fulham 1503 · AFC Wimbledon 1482
| Fulham | Draw | AFC Wimbledon | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 72% | 21% | 7% |
| Market | 75% | 14% | 11% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.33 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fulham | AFC Wimbledon | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1 | 0.9 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.2 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.3 | 1.7 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.8 / 0.2 | 2.3 / 0.1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fulham
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | VfB Stuttgart Elite Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 12/08 | Malaga Elite Club Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 07/08 | Crystal Palace Elite Club Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 28/07 | Al Ahli Jeddah Elite Club Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 24/05 | Newcastle England Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Wolverhampton England Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 09/05 | Bournemouth England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 7 | L |
| 02/05 | Arsenal England Premier League |
0-3 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | Aston Villa England Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | Brentford England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
AFC Wimbledon
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Leyton Orient England EFL Trophy |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 15/08 | Huddersfield England League 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Newport County England EFL Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 01/08 | QPR UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 28/07 | Wealdstone UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 25/07 | Charlton UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 22/07 | Norwich UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 18/07 | Sutton Utd UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | Huddersfield England League 1 |
0-1 | 0-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Wigan England League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fulham vs AFC Wimbledon?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Fulham win (74%). Probabilities: Fulham 74%, draw 17%, AFC Wimbledon 9%.
How many goals are expected in Fulham vs AFC Wimbledon?
The model expects 2.33 goals (Fulham 1.89 · AFC Wimbledon 0.44), with a 60% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Fulham vs AFC Wimbledon?
The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.