Football · Republic of Ireland Munster Senior League · 13/08, 20:30
Prediction: Ringmahon Rangers vs Carrigaline United
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.2Total
Ringmahon Rangers2.37
Carrigaline United0.82
1X2
Ringmahon Rangers
Draw
Carrigaline United
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Ringmahon Rangers
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Carrigaline United
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ringmahon Rangers
3–2–0
Carrigaline United
(5 last)
- Carrigaline United0-3Ringmahon Rangers
- Ringmahon Rangers1-0Carrigaline United
- Ringmahon Rangers5-1Carrigaline United
- Carrigaline United2-2Ringmahon Rangers
- Ringmahon Rangers1-1Carrigaline United
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ringmahon Rangers 1601 · Carrigaline United 1494
| Ringmahon Rangers | Draw | Carrigaline United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 19% | 10% |
| Market | 73% | 15% | 12% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.2 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ringmahon Rangers (rating 1601 vs 1494).
- H2H favours Ringmahon Rangers: 3-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ringmahon Rangers | Carrigaline United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 0.8 | 1.3 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 6 | 1.8 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.3 | 4.9 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ringmahon Rangers 3–2–0 Carrigaline United
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/02/26 Republic of Ireland Munster Senior League | Carrigaline United | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Ringmahon Rangers |
| 27/11/25 Republic of Ireland Munster Senior League | Ringmahon Rangers | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Carrigaline United |
| 21/04/24 Republic of Ireland Munster Senior League | Ringmahon Rangers | 5-1 HT 2-1 | Carrigaline United |
| 27/10/23 Republic of Ireland Munster Senior League | Carrigaline United | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Ringmahon Rangers |
| 18/08/21 Republic of Ireland Munster Senior League | Ringmahon Rangers | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Carrigaline United |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ringmahon Rangers | Carrigaline United |
|---|---|---|
| Rockmount | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Midleton FC | 3-2 W | 3-3 D |
| Cobh Wanderers | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Avondale United | 2-0 W | 3-3 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Ringmahon Rangers (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ringmahon Rangers
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/06 | Rockmount Republic of Ireland Munster Senior League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 02/06 | College Corinthians FC Republic of Ireland Munster Senior League |
2-1 | 4-1 | 7 | 10 | W |
| 16/05 | Liffey Wanderers Republic of Ireland FAI Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 13/03 | Midleton FC Republic of Ireland Munster Senior League |
2-2 | 3-2 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 04/03 | Mayfield United Republic of Ireland Munster Senior League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 20/02 | Carrigaline United Republic of Ireland Munster Senior League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 30/01 | Cork City Republic of Ireland Munster Senior Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 23/01 | Cobh Wanderers Republic of Ireland Munster Senior League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 10/01 | Avondale United Republic of Ireland Munster Senior League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 08/12 | UCC Republic of Ireland Munster Senior League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
Carrigaline United
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/06 | Cobh Wanderers Republic of Ireland Munster Senior League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 22/04 | Rockmount Republic of Ireland Munster Senior League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 30/03 | Rockmount Republic of Ireland FAI Intermediate Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 06/03 | St Marys AFC Republic of Ireland Munster Senior League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 20/02 | Ringmahon Rangers Republic of Ireland Munster Senior League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 30/01 | Avondale United Republic of Ireland Munster Senior League |
1-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 09/01 | Midleton FC Republic of Ireland Munster Senior League |
2-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 27/11 | Ringmahon Rangers Republic of Ireland Munster Senior League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 16/11 | Avondale United Republic of Ireland Munster Senior League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 07/11 | Cobh Wanderers Republic of Ireland Munster Senior League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 10 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ringmahon Rangers vs Carrigaline United?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ringmahon Rangers win (72%). Probabilities: Ringmahon Rangers 72%, draw 17%, Carrigaline United 11%.
How many goals are expected in Ringmahon Rangers vs Carrigaline United?
The model expects 3.2 goals (Ringmahon Rangers 2.37 · Carrigaline United 0.82), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Ringmahon Rangers vs Carrigaline United?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.