Football · England EFL Cup · 25/08, 20:45
Prediction: Fleetwood Town vs Shrewsbury
Team pages: Fleetwood Town · Shrewsbury
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.02Total
Fleetwood Town1.51
Shrewsbury0.51
1X2
Fleetwood Town
Draw
Shrewsbury
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Fleetwood Town
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Shrewsbury
1-6-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Fleetwood Town
2–1–3
Shrewsbury
(6 last)
- Shrewsbury2-2Fleetwood Town
- Fleetwood Town3-1Shrewsbury
- Shrewsbury3-1Fleetwood Town
- Fleetwood Town0-1Shrewsbury
- Shrewsbury0-3Fleetwood Town
- Fleetwood Town0-1Shrewsbury
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fleetwood Town (rating 1586 vs 1491).
- H2H favours Shrewsbury: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fleetwood Town | Shrewsbury | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.2 | 0.1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 0/60/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 4.6 | 2.3 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0 | 2.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fleetwood Town 2–1–3 Shrewsbury
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 England League 2 | Shrewsbury | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Fleetwood Town |
| 22/11/25 England League 2 | Fleetwood Town | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Shrewsbury |
| 01/01/24 England League 1 | Shrewsbury | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Fleetwood Town |
| 26/08/23 England League 1 | Fleetwood Town | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Shrewsbury |
| 01/01/23 England League 1 | Shrewsbury | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Fleetwood Town |
| 15/10/22 England League 1 | Fleetwood Town | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Shrewsbury |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fleetwood Town
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Chesterfield England League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | Chesterfield England EFL Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 01/08 | Hartlepool UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 28/07 | Bolton UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 21/07 | Huddersfield UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | Southport Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/07 | Chester UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Bamber Bridge Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Milton Keynes Dons England League 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 25/04 | Shrewsbury England League 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
Shrewsbury
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Tranmere England League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 08/08 | Salford City England EFL Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 28/07 | Hereford FC UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 2 | D |
| 25/07 | West Brom UK Friendlies |
1-3 | 1-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 21/07 | Everton U21 UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 17/07 | Radcliffe FC Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 14/07 | Stafford Rangers UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | D |
| 02/05 | Gillingham England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Fleetwood Town England League 2 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 18/04 | Crawley Town England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fleetwood Town vs Shrewsbury?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Fleetwood Town win (61%). Probabilities: Fleetwood Town 61%, draw 28%, Shrewsbury 11%.
How many goals are expected in Fleetwood Town vs Shrewsbury?
The model expects 2.02 goals (Fleetwood Town 1.51 · Shrewsbury 0.51), with a 59% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Fleetwood Town vs Shrewsbury?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.