Football · England EFL Cup · 25/08, 21:00
Prediction: Birmingham vs Brentford
Team pages: Birmingham · Brentford
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.42Total
Birmingham1.66
Brentford0.76
1X2
Birmingham
Draw
Brentford
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Birmingham
7-3-0 (W-D-L)
Brentford
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Birmingham
2–4–0
Brentford
(6 last)
- Brentford0-0Birmingham
- Birmingham1-0Brentford
- Birmingham1-1Brentford
- Brentford0-1Birmingham
- Birmingham0-0Brentford
- Brentford1-1Birmingham
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Birmingham (rating 1596 vs 1517).
- H2H favours Birmingham: 2-4-0.
- Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Birmingham | Brentford | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.6 | 2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.3 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.1 | 3.1 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.4 / 0 | 3.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Birmingham 2–4–0 Brentford
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/04/21 England Championship | Brentford | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Birmingham |
| 12/09/20 England Championship | Birmingham | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Brentford |
| 15/02/20 England Championship | Birmingham | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Brentford |
| 03/08/19 England Championship | Brentford | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Birmingham |
| 29/12/18 England Championship | Birmingham | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Brentford |
| 02/10/18 England Championship | Brentford | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Birmingham |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Birmingham
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Sheff Utd England Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 08/08 | Swansea England EFL Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 31/07 | Barcelona Elite Club Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 25/07 | Crewe UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 25/07 | Northampton Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 22/07 | Burton Albion UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 15/07 | Solihull Moors UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 10/07 | Huddersfield UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | Portsmouth England Championship |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 25/04 | Bristol City England Championship |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
Brentford
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Eintracht Frankfurt Elite Club Friendlies |
3-0 | 7-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 08/08 | Rennes Elite Club Friendlies |
2-0 | 4-2 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Liverpool England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | Crystal Palace England Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Man City England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 02/05 | West Ham England Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 27/04 | Man Utd England Premier League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 18/04 | Fulham England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | D |
| 11/04 | Everton England Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 21/03 | Leeds England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Birmingham vs Brentford?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Birmingham win (58%). Probabilities: Birmingham 58%, draw 26%, Brentford 16%.
How many goals are expected in Birmingham vs Brentford?
The model expects 2.42 goals (Birmingham 1.66 · Brentford 0.76), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Birmingham vs Brentford?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.