Football · England EFL Cup · 25/08, 20:45
Prediction: Stoke vs Hull
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.02Total
Stoke0.86
Hull1.16
1X2
Stoke
Draw
Hull
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 67%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Stoke
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Hull
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Stoke
3–3
Hull
(6 last)
- Hull0-1Stoke
- Stoke1-2Hull
- Hull1-2Stoke
- Stoke1-3Hull
- Hull0-2Stoke
- Stoke1-3Hull
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hull (rating 1443 vs 1543).
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Stoke | Hull | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.5 | 1.2 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 10/80/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 7.2 | 1.9 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0 | 2.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stoke 3–0–3 Hull
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/01/26 England Championship | Hull | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Stoke |
| 29/11/25 England Championship | Stoke | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Hull |
| 01/02/25 England Championship | Hull | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Stoke |
| 20/09/24 England Championship | Stoke | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Hull |
| 29/03/24 England Championship | Hull | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Stoke |
| 24/09/23 England Championship | Stoke | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Hull |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stoke
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Swansea England Championship |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Oldham England EFL Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 01/08 | Valencia Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 28/07 | Everton Elite Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | Crewe UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 10/07 | Braga Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 02/05 | Bristol City England Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 15 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Portsmouth England Championship |
0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 21/04 | Millwall England Championship |
0-1 | 1-3 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Wrexham England Championship |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
Hull
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Nice Elite Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 08/08 | Eintracht Frankfurt Elite Club Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 01/08 | Kasimpasa Elite Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 28/07 | Caykur Rizespor Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 25/07 | Konyaspor Elite Club Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Middlesbrough England Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 11/05 | Millwall England Championship |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 08/05 | Millwall England Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 02/05 | Norwich England Championship |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Charlton England Championship |
1-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stoke vs Hull?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Hull win (41%). Probabilities: Stoke 26%, draw 33%, Hull 41%.
How many goals are expected in Stoke vs Hull?
The model expects 2.02 goals (Stoke 0.86 · Hull 1.16), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Stoke vs Hull?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.