Football · Spain Tercera Group 6 · 18/10, 17:00

Prediction: CD Bunol vs Hercules II

Team pages: CD Bunol · Hercules II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.38Total

CD Bunol1.17

Hercules II1.2

1X2

35% 29% 36%

CD Bunol Draw Hercules II

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Bunol 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLLWWDDLLL

Hercules II 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWLLLDWDWW

Head-to-head

CD Bunol 0–1–1 Hercules II (2 last)

Hercules II3-1CD Bunol
CD Bunol1-1Hercules II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Bunol 1457 · Hercules II 1510

	CD Bunol	Draw	Hercules II
Our model	34%	30%	35%
Market	35%	29%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.38 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hercules II (rating 1457 vs 1510).
Cards-heavy: 11.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Bunol	Hercules II
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 1.3	1.1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 0.9	0.8 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/38/63%	25/38/38%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 3.6	2 / 2.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	7.5 / 0.1	4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.10

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.95

2 (0)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 21.77

Under 22.02

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:34

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Pinn 2.64
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.45 → 2.45	Pinn 2.80 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.3% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
17:22 +12’	2.55	3.10	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:16 +18’	2.75	2.71	2.68
17:58 +138’	2.64▼	2.71	2.80▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Bunol 0–1–1 Hercules II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/03/26 Spain Tercera Group 6	Hercules II	3-1 HT 1-0	CD Bunol
09/11/25 Spain Tercera Group 6	CD Bunol	1-1	Hercules II

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 6

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Villarreal C	6	5	0	1	11	5	15
2	Levante B	6	4	1	1	12	3	13
3	UD Vall De Uxo	6	3	3	0	8	2	12
4	Hercules II	6	3	2	1	9	6	11
5	Torrent C.F.	6	3	1	2	9	6	10
6	Crevillente	5	2	3	0	9	7	9
7	CD Roda	6	2	3	1	8	6	9
8	Eldense B	6	2	3	1	5	3	9
9	Atletico Saguntino	6	2	2	2	9	9	8
10	Acero	6	1	4	1	6	5	7
11	SC Torrevieja CF	7	2	1	4	7	13	7
12	Ontinyent	6	2	0	4	8	9	6
13	Jove Espanol	6	1	3	2	7	11	6
14	CD Bunol	6	1	2	3	4	9	5
15	Atzeneta	6	0	5	1	5	6	5
16	Athletic Torrellano	6	1	1	4	5	10	4
17	Soneja	6	1	1	4	5	11	4
18	Utiel	6	0	3	3	4	10	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Bunol	Hercules II
Villarreal C	1-3 L	0-4 L
Torrent C.F.	0-1 L	1-0 W
Ontinyent	0-3 L	1-0 W
Eldense B	1-1 D	1-0 W
Atzeneta	2-1 W	1-1 D
Jove Espanol	0-3 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 4 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Hercules II (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Bunol

WLLWWDDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	Villarreal C Spain Tercera Group 6	0-3	1-3	8	7	L
04/10	Torrent C.F. Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	0-1	2	10	L
27/09	Ontinyent Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	0-3	3	4	L
20/09	Eldense B Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	1-1	3	7	D
12/09	Levante B Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	0-0	3	8	D
05/09	Atzeneta Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	2-1	3	6	W
09/05	UD Alzira Spain Tercera Group 6	–	1-0	–	–	W
02/05	Jove Espanol Spain Tercera Group 6	–	0-3	–	–	L
26/04	CD Roda Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	0-1	4	9	L
19/04	Recambios Colon Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	1-0	3	10	W

Hercules II

LWLLLDWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	Torrent C.F. Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	1-0	4	6	W
03/10	Eldense B Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
26/09	Atzeneta Spain Tercera Group 6	–	1-1	–	–	D
19/09	Athletic Torrellano Spain Tercera Group 6	2-1	3-1	2	4	W
13/09	Jove Espanol Spain Tercera Group 6	2-0	2-2	1	9	D
05/09	SC Torrevieja CF Spain Tercera Group 6	1-1	1-2	3	7	L
09/05	Atletico Saguntino Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	0-3	3	0	L
02/05	UD Castellonense Spain Tercera Group 6	1-2	1-4	3	1	L
26/04	Ontinyent Spain Tercera Group 6	–	1-0	–	–	W
18/04	Villarreal C Spain Tercera Group 6	0-3	0-4	3	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Bunol vs Hercules II?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Hercules II win (36%). Probabilities: CD Bunol 35%, draw 29%, Hercules II 36%.

How many goals are expected in CD Bunol vs Hercules II?

The model expects 2.38 goals (CD Bunol 1.17 · Hercules II 1.2), with a 56% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Bunol vs Hercules II?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.