Football · Spain Tercera Group 6 · 04/10, 16:00

Prediction: Levante B vs Crevillente

Team pages: Levante B · Crevillente

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.98Total

Levante B1.9

Crevillente1.08

1X2

55% 25% 20%

Levante B Draw Crevillente

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Levante B 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWLLWWLDWW

Crevillente 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DLLLWWWDDD

Head-to-head

Levante B 5–1–0 Crevillente (6 last)

Levante B4-1Crevillente
Crevillente0-1Levante B
Levante B2-0Crevillente
Crevillente0-1Levante B
Crevillente0-0Levante B
Levante B3-1Crevillente

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Levante B 1556 · Crevillente 1492

	Levante B	Draw	Crevillente
Our model	55%	24%	20%
Market	55%	25%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 2.98 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Levante B (rating 1556 vs 1492).
H2H favours Levante B: 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Levante B	Crevillente
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1	1.6 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.5 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.8	1.4 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.6 / 0.3	5.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.61

X3.50

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.82

2 (+0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.02

Under 2.51.77

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61
X	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 3.62
2	4.50 → 4.50	Pinn 4.80 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.7% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
14:22 +2’	1.61	3.50	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:12 +102’	1.61	3.62	4.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Levante B 5–1–0 Crevillente

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Spain Tercera Group 6	Levante B	4-1 HT 1-0	Crevillente
14/01/26 Spain Tercera Group 6	Crevillente	0-1 HT 0-0	Levante B
05/04/25 Spain Tercera Group 6	Levante B	2-0 HT 1-0	Crevillente
24/11/24 Spain Tercera Group 6	Crevillente	0-1 HT 0-1	Levante B
11/02/18 Spain Tercera Group 6	Crevillente	0-0	Levante B
24/09/17 Spain Tercera Group 6	Levante B	3-1	Crevillente

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 6

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	UD Vall De Uxo	4	3	1	0	7	1	10
2	Villarreal C	4	3	0	1	6	3	9
3	Eldense B	4	2	2	0	5	2	8
4	Torrent C.F.	4	2	1	1	8	5	7
5	Levante B	4	2	1	1	5	2	7
6	Crevillente	4	1	3	0	6	5	6
7	Ontinyent	4	2	0	2	5	4	6
8	SC Torrevieja CF	4	2	0	2	4	5	6
9	Hercules II	4	1	2	1	7	6	5
10	Acero	4	1	2	1	4	3	5
11	CD Roda	4	1	2	1	5	5	5
12	CD Bunol	4	1	2	1	3	5	5
13	Atletico Saguntino	4	1	1	2	4	5	4
14	Soneja	4	1	1	2	4	7	4
15	Atzeneta	4	0	3	1	3	4	3
16	Utiel	4	0	3	1	2	4	3
17	Jove Espanol	4	0	2	2	4	9	2
18	Athletic Torrellano	4	0	0	4	2	9	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Levante B	Crevillente
Atletico Saguntino	1-2 L	2-2 D
Soneja	2-2 D	2-2 D
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Crevillente (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Levante B

DWLLWWLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Villarreal C Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	2-0	3	5	W
20/09	Ontinyent Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	2-0	4	9	W
12/09	CD Bunol Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	0-0	3	8	D
06/09	Atletico Saguntino Spain Tercera Group 6	0-2	1-2	7	7	L
17/05	Villarreal C Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	3-1	0	7	W
09/05	Ontinyent Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	1-0	1	3	W
02/05	Villarreal C Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	0-1	6	4	L
26/04	La Nucia Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	2-3	1	8	L
18/04	Crevillente Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	4-1	8	4	W
11/04	Soneja Spain Tercera Group 6	1-2	2-2	5	4	D

Crevillente

DLLLWWWDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Atletico Saguntino Spain Tercera Group 6	0-2	2-2	4	3	D
19/09	CD Roda Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	1-1	0	7	D
13/09	Soneja Spain Tercera Group 6	2-1	2-2	6	3	D
05/09	Acero Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	1-0	9	6	W
09/05	CD Roda Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	2-0	6	1	W
02/05	Recambios Colon Spain Tercera Group 6	1-1	2-1	4	12	W
26/04	Athletic Torrellano Spain Tercera Group 6	1-1	2-4	4	6	L
18/04	Levante B Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	1-4	2	4	L
12/04	Atzeneta Spain Tercera Group 6	0-2	2-3	2	9	L
04/04	Hercules II Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	1-1	3	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Levante B vs Crevillente?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Levante B win (55%). Probabilities: Levante B 55%, draw 25%, Crevillente 20%.

How many goals are expected in Levante B vs Crevillente?

The model expects 2.98 goals (Levante B 1.9 · Crevillente 1.08), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Levante B vs Crevillente?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.